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Why cornered Iran could decide to spark a Middle East war

Why cornered Iran could decide to spark a Middle East war

An aggressive counterattack risks escalation. But giving in to US and Israeli demands is an unlikely alternative.

Iranian protesters march in Tehran’s Revolution Square following Israeli airstrikes on the country. Getty

Iran’s supreme leader and government are facing what many regard as an existential moment as they try to decide how to respond to Israel’s ongoing attacks on its military hierarchy, air defences and nuclear program.

Iran began launching missiles into Israel late on Friday (Saturday AEST), opening its counterattack. Beyond the strikes, Iran has a range of potential options, each with their own peril.

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Original URL: https://www.afr.com/world/middle-east/why-cornered-iran-could-decide-to-spark-a-middle-east-war-20250614-p5m7e7