About two weeks ago, before the global market meltdown, three dozen luminaries of American finance gathered for a summer lunch, where they conducted informal polls about the outlook. The results were pretty dull.
The majority at the table voted for a so-called “soft landing” for the US economy, with rates of 3 to 3.5 per cent in a year – and a swing of 10 per cent, or less, for stock prices (evenly split between up and down).
Financial Times