Jacqui Lambie is emerging as Tasmania’s next political kingmaker as polling ahead of the March 23 state election shows disenchanted voters are walking away from major parties, with Liberal and Labor at long odds of forming a majority on their own.

The Tasmanian Liberals have slipped 16 points in primary voting intentions to 33 per cent, according to Redbridge polling, which showed Labor on 29 per cent, the Greens on 14 per cent and the Jacqui Lambie Network on track to secure at least one-in-every 10 votes in its first state election campaign.