The first rise in the jobless rate in 10 months has complicated the outlook for the Reserve Bank, as the central bank balances a desire to ease the pace of tightening to avoid inflicting a hard landing against global forces pushing rates higher.
Markets are pricing a 50 per cent chance the RBA will raise rates by another half a percentage point at its next board meeting on October 4, which was down only slightly from 56 per cent on Wednesday.
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Michael Read is the Financial Review's economics correspondent, reporting from the federal press gallery at Parliament House. He was previously an economist at the Reserve Bank of Australia and at UBS. Connect with Michael on Twitter. Email Michael at michael.read@afr.com