Calm in a crisis won't be enough for a second-term Ardern
Jacinda Ardern's crisis communication is world class. But she is lucky that elections aren't won on achievements after a term overshadowed by disaster and catastrophe.
New Zealanders will elect a new Parliament on Saturday, but the election result is a foregone conclusion. Unless all pollsters have been consistently wrong for the past months, Prime Minister Jacinda Ardern can prepare for a second term in office.
The only remaining uncertainty, so it seems, is just how emphatic Ardern’s election victory will be. Will Ardern be able only to dump her New Zealand First coalition partner and govern with the Greens, her party’s other supporting partner? Or will NZ Labour govern in its own right? And with how large a majority?
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Oliver Hartwich is executive director of The New Zealand Initiative, a business think tank in Wellington.
