High-profile independent Muslim candidates could drag Labor’s primary vote down to a danger zone of about 30 per cent, threatening its grip on some of its safest seats, including those held by senior ministers Tony Burke and Jason Clare.

As party bosses parse last week’s UK election results – including frontbench losses to pro-Palestinian independents – analysis by election watcher and former Labor senator John Black shows the newly formed Muslim Vote organisation could drive a slump in the ALP primary vote, and the likely loss of seats, including the Melbourne electorate of Wills.