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Labor’s worst fears confirmed, Greens get another reality check

The Werribee byelection confirms what the major parties have long known – the bottom has fallen out of Labor’s vote in its traditional stronghold state of Victoria.

Phillip Coorey
Phillip CooreyPolitical editor

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For argument’s sake, take the 10.4 per cent, two-party-preferred swing away from Labor in Saturday’s Werribee state byelection, and run it up the federal election pendulum.

If that swing were replicated in Victoria at the federal election, and it was uniform, Labor would lose about 11 seats.

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Phillip Coorey is the political editor based in Canberra. He is a two-time winner of the Paul Lyneham award for press gallery excellence. Connect with Phillip on Facebook and Twitter. Email Phillip at pcoorey@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/labor-s-worst-fears-confirmed-greens-get-another-reality-check-20250209-p5lan7