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Stephen Anthony

Don’t break out the budget champagne just yet

The rosy picture painted by the amazing short-term turnaround in the government’s fiscal fortunes can’t hide the slew of structural issues in public finances.

Stephen AnthonyEconomist

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On Tuesday night, Treasurer Jim Chalmers will present his second budget.

It will detail an amazing turnaround in the federal government’s budget fortunes – forecasting surplus (or next to) in both the current and budget year. Then only small deficits – perhaps around 1 per cent of GDP over the forwards. Not bad after 15 years of persistent deficits, a global pandemic and recent financial market/banking ructions.

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Stephen Anthony is chief economist at Macroeconomics.

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/politics/federal/don-t-break-out-the-budget-champagne-just-yet-20230507-p5d6dm