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Rudd: the war in Ukraine won’t change Xi’s plans for Taiwan

Rudd: the war in Ukraine won’t change Xi’s plans for Taiwan

For China’s Communist Party, the existence of a Taiwanese administration outside the control of the government in Beijing is a raw, festering wound.

Kevin RuddFormer Australian prime minister

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Following Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on February 24, two views quickly emerged in the West about what lesson China would take from the war.

The first suggested that NATO’s failure to deter Russia – or to defend Ukraine directly – would inspire China to advance the timetable for a planned invasion of Taiwan, or even to capitalise on the chaos brought about by the war to attack the island immediately.

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Project Syndicate

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Kevin Rudd
Kevin RuddFormer Australian prime ministerKevin Rudd a former Labor prime minister and foreign affairs minister of Australia. Connect with Kevin on Facebook and Twitter.

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Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/foreign-affairs/rudd-the-war-in-ukraine-won-t-change-xi-s-plans-for-taiwan-20220621-p5avbk