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Strap in for long trade war, CBA warns

Commonwealth Bank chief economist Luke Yeaman says the economic pain from Donald Trump’s trade disruption will not end soon.

Commonwealth Bank of Australia chief economist Luke Yeaman has warned the economic pain from Donald Trump’s trade disruption will not end soon and tariffs could go higher, as the US president digs in for a protracted fight against China.

Yeaman said Australia was better placed than many countries to withstand the global slowdown, but it would not be spared from the fallout and much would hinge on a hoped-for Chinese infrastructure stimulus propping up demand for commodities such as iron ore.

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Michael Read is the Financial Review's economics correspondent, reporting from the federal press gallery at Parliament House. He was previously an economist at the Reserve Bank of Australia and at UBS. Connect with Michael on Twitter. Email Michael at michael.read@afr.com
John Kehoe is economics editor at Parliament House, Canberra. He writes on economics, politics and business. John was Washington correspondent covering Donald Trump’s first election. He joined the Financial Review in 2008 from Treasury. Connect with John on Twitter. Email John at jkehoe@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/strap-in-for-long-trade-war-cba-warns-20250409-p5lqe1