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Growth slump could fuel inflation and spending blowout: central banks

Michael Read
Michael ReadEconomics correspondent

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Lacklustre productivity growth could prolong high inflation and trigger a sharp slowdown in global economic activity, leading to a blowout in government spending and generating social unrest, the Bank for International Settlements says.

Economists at the Swiss-based BIS, a club of central banks, warned that governments worldwide could not rely on artificial intelligence to offset the various headwinds facing productivity growth, including an ageing population, increasing trade barriers, and a decline in political appetite for meaningful economic reform.

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Michael Read is the Financial Review's economics correspondent, reporting from the federal press gallery at Parliament House. He was previously an economist at the Reserve Bank of Australia and at UBS. Connect with Michael on Twitter. Email Michael at michael.read@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/economy/growth-slump-could-fuel-inflation-and-spending-blowout-central-banks-20241004-p5kfvi