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Michael Shoebridge

This Month

Every leader – besides Vladimir Putin – who has turned up to meet Trump has left either humiliated, embarrassed, punished or empty handed.

Australia should take a leaf out of China playbook to handle Trump

Instead of dealing with Washington alone, the new administration should be dealt with as a collective challenge together with our partners and allies.

February

A Chinese Coast Guard ship fires a water cannon at a Philippine Navy chartered vessel carrying supplies in the South China Sea in March last year, part of the PLA Navy’s aggressive behaviours in the neighbourhood.

Live-fire drills have blown up Labor’s ‘stabilisation’ with China

The Chinese are telling everyone the naval manoeuvres are not illegal, but it’s odd to hear Australia’s prime minister and defence minister parroting their words.

So far, we have only heard Vladimir Putin’s terms for ending the war, from the mouths of both Putin and Donald Trump.

The Trump-Putin deal could leave US allies in the dust

Donald Trump is willing – even eager – to have bilateral discussions on core issues of security with the America’s adversaries, while excluding alliance partners.

for all the early smiles in Washington between Pete Hegseth and Richard Marles, we need to be prepared for what the Trump team will demand on security.

Trump’s tariffs obviously demand higher defence spending in Australia

We should be embarrassed that it’s taking almost gangster like pressure for us to spend the minimum sensible to provide for our security in the world we live in now.

January

Donald Trump is likely to sense he has enormous leverage over Australia because it’s leaders feel compelled to keep AUKUS on the rails.

Expect Trump to cut defence spending deal on AUKUS

The incoming president is likely to be tempted to prove he can get a better deal than Joe Biden negotiated with Australia on the nuclear submarines.

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Argentina’s October 2023 presidential election was the canary in the coalmine for politics across the democratic world.

Heed the election lesson of America and Argentina

This is shaping to be the year of licence and experimentation in politics, where the unthinkable can not just be thought, it can be said and done.

September 2023

An AUKUS announcement in San Diego in March 2023.

AUKUS is still a toddler with a long way to go

The unfortunate fact is since the announcement of the nuclear-powered submarine agreement two years ago, no partner has had to do anything hard to make it a reality.

July 2023

Anthony Albanese meets German Chancellor Olaf Scholz at the chancellery in Berlin.

PM should focus on helping Ukraine, not self-obsessed defence deals

It’s right that both Australia and Germany rearm to counter the Beijing-Moscow partnership. But how can we not focus the same energy on helping Ukraine?

March 2022

A Royal Australian Navy submarine berthed at HMAS Stirling in Garden Island.

East coast subs base choice is no beauty pageant

Beyond the politics, a public debate about the merits of Brisbane, Newcastle and Port Kembla makes sense. The last thing any government should do is rush this critical defence decision,

November 2019

Wang Liqiang's account tallies with what we know of China's espionage operations.

Political parties must take foreign interference seriously

The damage from foreign espionage can take years or even decades to appear. That's why a calm and orderly response is so important now.

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/by/michael-shoebridge-p4yvnh