Weekend Best Bets: Randwick, Caulfield, Doomben, Morphettville
OUR experts and celebrities give you an early shot at finding a winner as they look at the major races around the nation this weekend and focus in on the Caulfield Guineas and The Everest.
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- Ray and Duff: Ultimate Everest preview
- Top picks: Early look at Guineas Day
- Form guide: Who to back in The Everest
OUR experts give you an early shot at finding a winner as they look at the major races around the nation this weekend.
Last week … Three winners. Glenn McFarlane nailed the best and value double with Avilius ($2.45) and Invincibella ($3.20). Michael Manley, Darren Prendergast and Nick Quinn also went for Avilius, while Matt Jones, Brad Davidson and Shayne O’Cass were on the money with the good thing of the day I Am Serious ($1.95).
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THE EARLY OIL: CAULFIELD GUINEAS DAY
TOP PICKS: WEEKEND BEST BETS
EARLY BIRDS: CAULFIELD AT FIRST SIGHT
RAY AND DUFF: EVEREST PREVIEW
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SATURDAY (AEST)
CAULFIELD (10 races, 12.10pm), RANDWICK (10 races, 12.30pm), DOOMBEN (9 races, start 1.12pm), MORPHETTVILLE (8 races, 1.31pm), BUNBURY (8 races, 4.19pm).
ROYAL RANDWICK
RAY THOMAS (Daily Telegraph). Form: 42142
EGG TART (Race 8, No. 12 — $3.20)
Has won four of her five starts on soft or heavy tracks and her form usually improves the deeper she goes into a preparation. Ready to win.
Value bet: AUVRAY (Race 9, No. 3 — $8)
EVEREST TIP: SHOALS
MATT JONES (Daily Telegragh). Form: 12431
ONE FOOT IN HEAVEN (Race 9, No. 5 — $6.50)
He’s been crying out fora wet track and his previous form is close behind Avilius, Ace High and Unforgotten. That’s good enough to win this race.
Value bet: INVICTUS PRINCE (Race 8, No. 8 — $16)
EVEREST TIP: IN HER TIME
BRAD DAVIDSON (Sky Racing). Form: 41141
CRISTOBAL (Race 3, No. 1 — $3.10)
The blinkers go on here, she is one from one on soft ground (defeating the unlucky Miss Fabulass that day as well) and this sets up really well.
Value bet: SAXTON ROCK (Race 2, No. 3 — $12)
EVEREST TIP: SANTA ANA LANE
SHAYNE O’CASS (Sportsman). Form: 39931
VICTOREM (Race 5, No. 5 — $3.70)
Scored a dominant win in the Country Championships Final in the autumn and has a great record (7 starts; 5-1-0). He is pretty raw and does a few things wrong but he is a machine.
Value bet: EGYPTIAN SYMBOL (Race 6, No. 15 — $34)
EVEREST TIP: SHOALS
DARREN PRENDERGAST (Superracing). Form: 32331
EGG TART (Race 8, No. 12 — $3.20)
Quality mare starting to hit top gear after solid third at past two starts. Loves soft going and will be hard to beat.
Value bet: SAXTON ROCK (Race 2, No. 3 — $12)
EVEREST TIP: SHOALS
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
CAULFIELD
MICHAEL MANLEY (Herald Sun). Form: 91x11
THE AUTUMN SUN (Race 9, No. 1 — $1.90)
He looks a genuine star. Flew home to win the Golden Rose over 1400m. The 1600m will suit him even better with the likelihood of good speed.
Value bet: HUMIDOR (Race 8, No. 2 — $7.50)
GLENN MCFARLANE (Herald Sun). Form: 11211
THE AUTUMN SUN (Race 9, No. 1 — $1.90)
Superstar colt who stormed home to win the Golden Rose and looks to have a massive upside going forward.
Value bet: HUMIDOR (Race 8, No. 2 — $7.50)
SIMON MOY (SuperRacing). Form: 11174
VOODOO LAD (Race 5, No. 2 — $3.70)
Back after six weeks and always runs well here. Has five wins at this distance range and drawn perfectly.
Best value: UNFORGOTTEN (Race 8, No. 12 — $4.80)
CHRIS VERNUCCIO (SuperRacing). Form: 31163
WINTER BRIDE (Race 4, No. 2 — $4)
She should improve off her excellent win at Caulfield, and can hopefully settle closer in the run from a better gate. The form looks good after I Am Excited’s win at Flemington last week.
Value bet: UNFORGOTTEN (Race 8, No. 12 — $5)
NICK QUINN (TAB). Form: 4s241
SMART MELODY (Race 6, No. 5 — $2.20)
Unbeaten filly Smart Melody who should carry on her winning ways and win her first Group 1 race. Has drawn to get an easy run in transit and looks a class above her rivals.
Value bet: JUNGLE EDGE (Race 6, No. 3 — $13)
MARK WAUGH (Fox cricket commentator)
VOODOO LAD (Race 5, No.2 — $3.80)
Going super at present and loves Caulfield.
Value bet: SHOALS (Rand Race 7 No. 10 — $7)
MATT HILL (Premier racecaller)
SUNLIGHT (Race 3 No.1 — $2.60)
Quality horse that has trialled brilliantly
Value bet: SPLIT LIP (Race 4, No.9 — $19)
BRUCE McAVANEY (Channel 7 commentator)
THE AUTUMN SUN (Race 9, No. 1 — $1.90)
Fast becoming the nation’s racegoer’s second favourite horse behind you know who. Should confirm his potential as the next big thing in racing by winning the prestigious Guineas, a race that forges reputations and establishes stallions.
Value bet: GALLIC CHIEFTAIN (Race 10, No.5)
SAM GROTH (Tennis ace)
SMART MELODY (Race 6, No.5 — $2.50)
Unbeaten in five runs, including the Prelude last start. Speed should suit as well as the 1600m.
Value bet: PETRELLE (Morp Race 7, No.12 — $2.80)
JAIMEE ROGERS (TAB)
THE AUTUMN SUN (Race 9, NO. 1 — $2)
Proven at distance and runs slick sectionals. Superstar on the up
Value bet: COOL PASSION (Race 4, No. 2 — $9)
SHANE CRAWFORD (Channel 9)
UNFORGOTTEN (Race 8, No.12 — $4.80)
Stablemate of Winx and she’s a star in her own right. I expect her to show exactly why today.
Value bet: GLENROWAN PRINCE (Caulfield, R5, No.7, $81)
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
DOOMBEN
NATHAN EXELBY (The Courier-Mail). Form: 113x2
IMPAVIDO (Race 2, No. 6 — $3.70)
Battled on solidly last week under a big weight and tumbles to the limit here. Has shown heavy ground doesn’t hurt him and rates as hard to beat if he reproduced similar numbers here.
Value bet: WILLO TITTO (Race 6, No. 11 — $13)
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
MORPHETTVILLE
LINCOLN MOORE (The Advertiser). Form: 515x5
DEBT COLLECTOR (Race 6, No. 11 — $4.80)
Above average four-year-old who got back and charged home to score first-up from a spell in style. Had traffic problems and ran out of racing room second-up from a spell. Todd Pannell jumps in the saddle here, I like him drawn out and he can bounce back to winning form.
Value bet: BLUE MORPHO (Race 8, No. 4 — $9)
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
*Note: TAB Fixed Odds prices correct at time of publishing.
Originally published as Weekend Best Bets: Randwick, Caulfield, Doomben, Morphettville