Nearly 20,000 voters in Anthony Albanese’s seat worse off under stage three overhaul

Analysis by The Australian has revealed the federal seats worst off under Labor’s changes to stage three.

Nearly 20,000 people in Anthony Albanese’s own electorate are expected to be worse off under his government’s overhaul of the stage three tax cuts.

Almost 20,000 people in Anthony Albanese’s own electorate are ­expected to be worse off under his government’s overhaul of the stage three tax cuts.

According to analysis of 2021 census data, the Prime Minister’s inner-Sydney seat of Grayndler would be the fourth hardest hit Labor-held electorate, with an ­estimated 19,600 workers to ­receive a smaller tax cut.

Cabinet minister Tanya Plibersek’s neighbouring electorate of Sydney has the most workers ­likely to see their tax cut reduced, with as many as 25,800 voters set to receive less money.

This is followed by two Melbourne seats: Higgins, held by first-term MP Michelle Ananda-Rajah on just 2.6 per cent, where an estimated 21,100 people may be worse off; and Josh Burns’ seat of Macnamara where 20,600 workers are expected to receive a smaller tax cut.

Of the 10 worst-hit electorates under Labor’s proposed overhaul, six are held by teal MPs.

Teal-held electorates of North Sydney and Wentworth have the highest number of impacted ­voters, with 28,400 and 27,900 ­respectively.

North Sydney MP Kylea Tink, who unseated moderate Liberal Trent Zimmerman at the last election, is yet to confirm whether she backs the tax cuts, instead telling The Australian she is still consulting with her community.

Wentworth MP Allegra Spender blasted the government, saying people in her eastern Sydney electorate had already factored the tax cuts into their household budgets and urged the government not to break its promise.

Independent MP Monique Ryan also represents one of the most affected electorates under Labor’s changes, with 21,200 people expected to be worse off.

However, Dr Ryan backed the government’s push to reshape the tax cuts amid concern the original proposal unfairly benefited wealthy Australians.

Independent MP Zali Steggall’s electorate of Warringah on Sydney’s northern beachers includes an estimated 25,300 people who will receive a smaller tax cut under Labor, while independent MP Kate Chaney’s Western Australian seat of Curtin has about ­impacted 23,300 voters.

Teal MP Sophie Scamps’ NSW seat of Mackellar has about 15,500 people who are expected to be worse off. Liberal frontbencher Paul Fletcher’s seat of Bradfield is the hardest hit electorate held by the Coalition, with an estimated 22,700 people impacted.

Deputy Liberal leader Sussan Ley on Wednesday pledged to roll back any changes if the Coalition wins the election, accusing Labor of breaking its promise to voters.

A number of Greens MPs also represent seats with a significant number of people expected to be worse under the proposed changes. These include Brisbane MP Stephen Bates, Melbourne MP Adam Bandt, Griffith MP Max Chandler-Mather and Ryan MP Elizabeth Watson-Brown.

The left-wing party is leaving open the option of demanding that Mr Albanese delivers more cost-of-living relief in exchange for its support for the changes.

The census income data only provides an estimate of the number of people affected in each seat because it relates to total income, not taxable income, and was collected in 2021. Wages inflation will have lifted some voters’ incomes above the point where taxpayers will be worse off under the changes.