NewsBite

SuperCoach Investor Dan Begala reveals his plan to crack the top 500 after surging into rankings contention

On the cusp of the KFC SuperCoach top 500, Investor Dan Begala is eyeing a tilt at the major prize in the next six rounds. Here’s how he plans to continue his rankings surge.

Buy, Hold, Sell guide for Round 13 | KFC SuperCoach AFL

The footy frenzy has concluded and the market is brimming with excitement as we approach the business end of the KFC SuperCoach season.

The corporate buzzword of FY20, ladies and gentlemen, has been “agile” and you’ll need plenty more of this magic dust if you’re going to successfully navigate the final six rounds of Season 2020.

For Dan Begala — The SuperCoach Investor — this has entailed an aggressive use of trades, application of his “long-short” strategy and a late season’s ranking surge that has him on the cusp of the top-500 coaches (515, to be exact).

The next six weeks, however, could be the most pivotal in SuperCoach history with rankings and league success to be dictated by Footy Frenzy 2.0.

The SuperCoach Investor, Dan Begala, shares his best guidance for supercharging your side and navigating the final hours before market closure.

PATIENCE IS [NO LONGER] A VIRTUE

A compressed season has brought with it many positives including a daily dose of football, but most importantly, extra trades.

The SuperCoach Investor has always exercised an element of patience and restraint with regards to trading activity, but in FY20, has had to cast his investment philosophy firmly aside.

I’ve now exhausted almost all of my allocated trades – since Round 2 – with nine currently in the kitty that will be used to navigate the anticipated market volatility between Rounds 14 and 17.

With this aggressive approach to trading, I will now complete my side in Round 13 with only Devon Smith (F6) and Jack Viney (M8) cause for concern.

SuperCoach Investor Dan Begala is happy to finish his team with Devon Smith at F6 — for now.
SuperCoach Investor Dan Begala is happy to finish his team with Devon Smith at F6 — for now.

No more rookies, no more headaches – for now.

My side will be done and dusted on the eve of Round 13 with seven trades in hand, limited “liquidity” and a carefully designed portfolio built to navigate the byes.

The strategy was to supercharge my side and ensure it was comprised of premiums — as promptly as possible — in every position.

The SuperCoach Investor is now hoping to benefit from the enhanced dividend yields — particularly in the Round 13 — from the additional premiums I’ve managed to fast-track into my side through frenzied (but meticulous) trading.

MORE KFC SUPERCOACH HELP:

KFC SuperCoach’s ultimate Round 13 trade guide: Top targets, rookies and players to punt

Doctor’s Orders: Four left-field trade options with a Round 14 bye

KFC SuperCoach Round 12 burning questions: Best James Sicily replacements

KFC SuperCoach Rage Trades: Who to sell, who to buy after Round 12 plus scoring explained in frantic finish

How KFC SuperCoach will run during the second footy frenzy of 2020

Hot and cold players for Round 13 | KFC SuperCoach AFL

THE BALANCING ACT

As we approach the crescendo of FY20 many coaches are going to be presented with some season-defining conundrums and this will be dictated — predominantly — on whether you’re pining for rankings or league success.

The SuperCoach Investor — first and foremost — is rankings above all else.

No ifs. No buts. Rankings trump all for The Begala Brigade.

A team with aspirational rankings motives – all else being equal – is typically one that performs successfully in most league settings.

The issue, however, is that we’re destined for “carnage” in Round 15 with six teams, including the Cats and Bulldogs, scheduled for an ill-timed bye.

There are many household names – including captaincy candidate, Jack Macrae – who will be subject to a trading halt in a week that looms as pivotal for all rankings purists.

Clayton Oliver has been crucial to the SuperCoach Investor’s rise.
Clayton Oliver has been crucial to the SuperCoach Investor’s rise.
Dan Begala enjoyed the spoils of Marcus Bontempelli’s 199 against Adelaide.
Dan Begala enjoyed the spoils of Marcus Bontempelli’s 199 against Adelaide.

If your modus operandi is league success, it’s likely you’ll accept the ensuing carnage – disregard the rankings impact – and prepare for second week of finals in Round 16.

But if you’re at the pointy end of proceedings, Round 15 is looming as a key differentiator if you’re replete with trades and willing to jettison – sideways – any impacted premiums.

With most teams – including the fastidiously prepared – unlikely to field eighteen blue chip stocks, it could prove lucrative to do the unthinkable and trade the likes of Macrae – sideways – to Lachie Neale, for example, or any other stars that have completed their byes earlier in the season.

You’ll avoid the rookie roulette and reinforce your side immediately with premium dividend yields that will all-but certainly pivot you away from the rankings herd.

This is the week, I suspect, that we’ll crown the rankings leader.

PREMIUM VS. “PREMIUM”

There are only six rounds left, but notably, only three that will use the best 22 format.

That means you’ll only need to field 18 premiums – if possible – for the remaining 50 per cent of rounds between now and market close.

With this in mind, coaches need to be steadfast in their pursuit of ultra-premiums rather than compromising for discounted securities that traditionally attract bargain basement pricing for a reason.

Top liners, only – that’s the message from The SuperCoach Investor.

If you’re chasing bargains, it’s time to quash that strategy and trade your way to the likes of Lachie Neale ($728K), Jack Macrae ($694K) and Clayton Oliver ($714K) – just to name a few – if you’re looking to triumph over the next month.

Could a Jack Macrae to Lachie Neale trade pay off in Round 15?
Could a Jack Macrae to Lachie Neale trade pay off in Round 15?
Brownlow Medal favourite Lachie Neale has a bye in Round 14.
Brownlow Medal favourite Lachie Neale has a bye in Round 14.

With only eighteen spots available, it’s integral that you prioritise the uber-premiums of our game and instead bestow coverage duties – positions 19, 20, 21 & 22 – to the rookies if you’re lacking the scoring firepower amid your Best 18.

The salary cap you’ll save on those four positions will ensure you’re well placed to acquire any of the booming stocks that remain outstanding from your portfolio.

Like they always say, “quality over quantity”, is certainly the approach coaches should consider for the three rounds (R14, R15 & R16) impacted through byes.

You must – at a bare minimum – have the market-leading stocks across all positional lines (DEF – Jake Lloyd, MID – Lachie Neale, RUC – Brodie Grundy & FWD – Christian Petracca) as the four talisman of your portfolio noting it will compose greater than 25% of your score in Rounds 14, 15 & 16.

There’s premium. Then there’s “premium”.

The SuperCoach Investor advocates the latter.

Add your comment to this story

To join the conversation, please Don't have an account? Register

Join the conversation, you are commenting as Logout

Original URL: https://www.heraldsun.com.au/sport/afl/supercoach-news/supercoach-investor-dan-begala-reveals-his-plan-to-crack-the-top-500-after-surging-into-rankings-contention/news-story/b837615788ff38b032ee5fc2cd27600f