KFC SuperCoach NRL Cheapie Bible: Round 13 money makers
Our resident KFC SuperCoach NRL stats nerd Trent Copeland identifies the cheapie worth chasing this week, the ones to avoid and the all-important ‘nuffs’ that you need.
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What a tease! Charlie Staines, the Panthers star rookie who pumped out a record 158 points with five tries on debut was a late inclusion on the wing, scored another two for good measure inside 27 minutes before succumbing to a hamstring injury. Yep, SEVEN tries in 107 minutes of action.
That means the next time he sets foot on the field (approximately four weeks time) he is set to rise between $150,000 – $200,000 in a single week! Let’s hope that week he’s named up front and not a late inclusion again!
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Cheapies are the single most important key to SuperCoach success, without them, you can’t afford the Matterson’s, Taumalolo’s and Tedesco’s of the world, and picking the WRONG cheapies can ruin your entire season burning trades to resurrect, or no cash generation if you choose to hold.
A cheapie by definition is any player under $280,000. As the season goes along we will give a running verdict on when to sell, sit, buy or hold every cheapie that hits our radar – if a player is not on the list, we’ve determined they are not a viable selection.
Sit tight, here we go!
Charlie Staines | FLB ($171,900 | Panthers) – 66 points
Another two tries! As mentioned above however, the hamstring injury floors what could have been a cheapie of the year candidate and record first-week cash injection. Fingers crossed the hammy doesn’t keep him out longer than a month as that cash injection of $100k at least in one week could be very handy!
Verdict: AVOID. For now … Fourth most popular buy this week!! Hit that reverse trade button people!
Sam McIntyre | CTW ($269,300 | Tigers) – 83 points
McIntyre has flown seriously under the radar as a cheapie, and with in-game injuries has been a godsend for the Tigers. Last week’s try with some serious work rate (33 tackles, 8 points in tackle busts and 14 points in hitups) in his 47 minutes. Now, he’s been named to start on the back row, with Luke Garner dropped to the reserves. Hmm. Interesting, do we have a new 80 minute edge back rower as a CTW cheapie? At this advanced price and possessing a -18 BE you have to make that call NOW.
Verdict: BUY. Sneaky POD cheapie of the week. I think at this point in the season, if we’ve struck gold then it’s a steal, if not, trade him out to a nuff in three weeks for a $150k withdrawal.
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Mitch Aubusson | 2RF/CTW ($289,200 | Roosters) – 76 points
Aubo! There it is, the risk was absolutely worth it for the rewards that came by with 76 points including a try against the Titans where as predicted he played the full 80 minutes yet again. The upside is never going to be huge, but if he sits between 40-75 the next two weeks then $150k will have been banked and despite some rumours of a switch to the centres – I think those that are on can absolutely hold and continue starting in a pinch. Just set the expectations bar a little lower if he does indeed move to centre.
Verdict: HOLD. Well done to those that jumped on, those who didn’t I think it’s too late now.
Jackson Ford | 2RF ($270,100 | Dragons) – 57 points
57 points in 62 minutes at lock entirely in base stats is super impressive, and the eyeball test was super similar to what we saw from Blake Lawrie last year in a similar opportunity. Having earned the starting lock role on the back of good performances and the Dragons now at full health in the middle rotation – could Ford be a 50+ minute player which would equate to approximately a 55PPG average? The answer is absolutely he could.
Verdict: BUY. It’s a flyer, but it could pay off perfectly as a safety net 19th man with injuries, and late season trade out with one of your final trades.
Bailey Sironen | 2RF ($300,000 | Rabbitohs) – 49 points
Sironen stays in the Cheapie Bible by $1 and he deserves a mention for filling so many different holes for the Rabbitohs in his first two NRL starts. Last week it was the centres for 75 minutes, this week it was the halves for the majority of the game with Adam Reynolds going down with a burner. This week, though should see his first game of the full 80 minutes on the edge where his PPM is fantastic. At $300k with a BE of just 18 and juicy matchup against the Broncos I would be playing Sironen this week given the injury crisis most of us are facing.
Verdict: HOLD. Could turn out to be a fantastic buy.
Jordan Rapana | CTW ($257,300 | Raiders) – 42 points
The performance from the outset just wasn’t Rapana’s best with a couple of uncharacteristic drops/fumbles but the effort areas were there big time. The score of 42 points came through some categories the ‘old’ Rapana excelled in. 12 points in tackle busts, and massive 32 points in hit ups. Now, he’s back on the wing as predicted and personally I’m happy about that. Valemei is out of the squad altogether so it’s Rapana all day.
Verdict: BUY/HOLD. It may not be a monster this week against the Panthers, but in the next seven weeks the Raiders face the Broncos, Titans, Dogs, Roosters, Dragons, Warriors and Sharks. Barring the Roosters, that’s the best run home you will see.
Andrew Davey | 2RF ($212,300 | Eels) – 21 points
Ouch. Sorry to say I told you so, but, I told you so. I mean, Davey was the most popular cheapie last week??? Even without Ryan Matterson playing Davey played just 26 minutes in his utility role that was never going to produce an opportunity to score. What’s even worse is that Davey has played pretty well in the utility role to this point so the likelihood is that he’s an AE nightmare moving forward …
Verdict: AVOID. And if you were on of the almost 10,000 KFC SuperCoaches who bought last week, you may have to sell. STAT.
Jaxson Paulo | CTW ($192,100 | Rabbitohs) – 30 points
When Paulo finished the game against the Dragons on 48 points with no tries I was quietly very excited, then came the down-dates and 30 points was the end result. But, this was a three week play with Dragons, Broncos and Cowboys the opposition to come. Hopefully he can find the try line against one of the NRL’s leakiest defences this weekend – albeit an improved Broncos outfit the past two weeks.
Verdict: HOLD. Despite the low score, I think Paulo still has decent money making upside.
Tom Eisenhuth | CTW/2RF ($256,800 | Storm) – 34 points
Eisenhuth was a late call up to start in the centres for the Storm last weekend, with Momorovski out long term, Brenko Lee out with a broken hand as well as Olam for the one week. Now Seve is out for approximately two weeks after needing plastic surgery to his ear! So, the path is clear for a few rounds, with a BE of 1, but match-ups against the Roosters and Eels in the next three weeks plus the long term ‘utility’ AE nightmare likelihood scares me off.
Verdict: AVOID.
Tom Dearden | HFB ($234,700 | Broncos) – 46 points
Now I realise jumping on a young half in a struggling Broncos team is less than ideal (see Brodie Croft et al), but hear me out. Scores of 39 and 46 points upon his return to the starting side with next to no attacking stats indicates that he has some upside there and a nice ‘floor’. A BE of just 1 heading into round 13 is nice, but is there attacking upside in this Broncos team? The past two weeks at least gives us hope.
Verdict: AVOID. Not for me, we should be running four gun halves by now.
Jack Hetherington | FRF ($288,900 | Warriors) – 59 points
There we go, it was always coming! Hetherington had his loan deal extended for a further month this past week and what a way to celebrate it. 59 points in the FULL 80 minutes. 28 tackles, 8 points in tackle busts, 21 points in hit ups and he even had a line break! The BE is down to 16 once again and in two weeks you’ll be looking at a $350k player prime for a trade to an underpriced gun at the FRF position.
Verdict: HOLD. Perfect scenario for those that did indeed jump on.
Chris Randall | HOK ($171,900 | Knights) – 20 points
Things could scarcely have gone worse for Randall’s possible range of outcomes (in a KFC SuperCoach sense). Not only did he only score 20 points in 37 minutes but the Knights went out and secured Blake Green midweek – moving arguably their best player this season in Kurt Mann to hooker – and Randall dropping out of the 17 altogether. It’s a shame with the -37
Verdict: AVOID. Game over.
BON VOYAGE
When cheapies eclipse the $300k mark, they will receive a ‘final verdict’ as they bid farewell to the Cheapie Bible superstardom.
Tautau Moga | CTW ($319,200 | Knights) – 43 points
Just when we thought Moga was on track, health all sorted and starting to find his feet – dropped! A Knights fan and good mate of mine NSW fast (slow if you ask me) bowler Liam Hatcher told me on Monday he thought Moga would go and I couldn’t believe it but here we are, a bold move given Bradman Best is out injured so essentially Moga has dropped two places in the pecking order in one week.
Verdict: HOLD/SELL. There’s no urgency on the sell, but if you’re short on numbers this week I can see a scenario where he goes.
Connor Tracey | HFB ($171,900 | Sharks) – 21 points
Unfortunately, Tracey was a late switch back to the bench for the Sharks, not starting alongside Shaun Johnson in the halves as named last Tuesday. So, there goes the relevance for us too.
Verdict: AVOID.
NUFFS
A popular topic of conversation this time of year …
Rob Sutherland wrote a beauty of an article about them, the rationale behind why you pick them, and the best ones to pick so all I will add is ensure they not just get the most money for you, but you create an IMPROVEMENT in flexibility and injury coverage with dual position switches. The more Sunday games they play the better for VC-loophole purposes, and for the record I think they are an absolute must to maximise on field cash and therefore points for the run home.
Kayleb Milne | FRF|2RF (Sharks), Ben Trbojevic | CTW/2RF (Sea Eagles) and Jarred Anderson | CTW/2RF (Bulldogs) would be the pick of the bunch for me!
Good luck!