Queensland election 2017: Galaxy poll finds One Nation surge

THE extraordinary results of an exclusive Galaxy poll have confirmed that Pauline Hanson’s One Nation is on track to decide Queensland’s next premier.

Pauline Hanson will jet into the Queensland campaign tomorrow night poised to handpick the state’s next premier.

PAULINE Hanson will jet into the Queensland campaign tomorrow night poised to handpick the state’s next premier after the November 25, election as disenchanted voters spurn major parties.

Support for One Nation has surged, according to the extraordinary results of the election’s first Galaxy poll, despite the firebrand senator spending the week marooned in India on a parliamentary travel trip.

The Tim Nicholls-led Liberal National Party has recorded a sharp fall, while Labor’s vote has flatlined, with Premier Annastacia Palaszczuk unable to command the vote she received at the 2015 election.

One in three Queenslanders would back minor parties or Independents, the poll results revealed, greater than the total vote being mustered by the LNP and closing in on Labor’s support.

The results indicate neither of the major parties will be able to secure a majority and Queensland is careering towards another hung Parliament with One Nation likely to snare a swag of seats.

According to Galaxy, the LNP primary vote has plummeted 4 per cent in three months to a lowly 32 per cent, the worst result for the party in over five years.

Labor remained on 35 per cent, below the 37.5 per cent the party achieved at the last election which allowed Ms Palaszczuk to negotiate a minority government arrangement with Independent Peter Wellington.

One Nation’s vote jumped from 15 per cent to 18 per cent, putting the party in the frame to repeat its feat at the 1998 state election when it won 11 seats and finished second in 23 others.

“However, with three weeks of campaigning to go, the result cannot be considered a foregone conclusion,” Galaxy pollster David Brigg said.

“In 1998 One Nation secured 22.7 per cent of the primary vote and won 11 seats in Parliament.

“Although support for the party is currently below the level achieved in 1998, they are likely to field less candidates and hence they would be expected to be competitive in a number of seats in which they stand.”

These include electorates in north Queensland, such as Thuringowa, Burdekin and Whitsunday; central Queensland electorates, such as Keppel, Bundaberg, Hervey Bay and Maryborough; as well as Logan and Lockyer, in the southeast corner.

The poll shows the Greens have jumped to 9 per cent, in an indication swinging voters may side with the left-wing outfit over the controversial Adani coal mine.

On a two-party-preferred basis, the Galaxy poll put Labor in the lead 52 per cent to 48 per cent, with almost two in three One Nation voters preferencing the LNP over Labor.

The results will embolden Labor’s attack on the LNP over whether Mr Nicholls is prepared to do preference deals or form minority government with the support of One Nation.

Annastacia Palaszczuk is unable to command the vote she received in 2015.

Mr Nicholls had insisted the LNP would take a “seat-by-seat” approach to preferences and ruled out a Coalition-style agreement with Senator Hanson’s party.

The LNP’s freefalling support comes despite this week’s significant policy announcements to cut payroll tax, crack down on crime in Townsville and committing to pursue a coal-fired power station in north Queensland rather than renewables.

The poll of almost 900 Queenslanders from across the state also showed neither leader had gained momentum among voters.

The number satisfied with Ms Palaszczuk’s performance increased 2 per cent to 41 per cent while the number dissatisfied fell from 44 per cent to 42 per cent.

Mr Nicholls’ satisfaction rating inched forward by 1 per cent to 28 per cent while his dissatisfaction fell 1 per cent to 40 per cent with almost one in three uncommitted.

Ms Palaszczuk continues to dominate Mr Nicholls as preferred premier, 43 per cent to 29 per cent.

However, 28 per cent of voters were uncommitted about either, well higher than the result before the previous two state elections, which is a clear indication of the mood among Queenslanders towards the major parties and their leaders.