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Oscars form guide: Who will win Best Picture?

Nine movies are vying for the Oscars top gong, covering everything from racing and marriage to war and parasites with some seriously heavyweight star power. So who will win Best Picture?

Who will take out the Oscar for Best Picture? Picture: Sony
Who will take out the Oscar for Best Picture? Picture: Sony

BEST MOTION PICTURE OF THE YEAR

Ford v Ferrari

The Irishman

Jojo Rabbit

Joker

Little Women

Marriage Story

1917

Once Upon a Time in Hollywood

Parasite

Ford V Ferrari warrants a place in the exceptionally strong line-up for Best Picture, but won’t win. Picture: Twentieth Century Fox
Ford V Ferrari warrants a place in the exceptionally strong line-up for Best Picture, but won’t win. Picture: Twentieth Century Fox
Little Women plays it too safe to take out the top honour.
Little Women plays it too safe to take out the top honour.

THE HONOUR’S ALL YOURS, THE SPOILS ARE ALL THEIRS:

Though an exceptionally strong line-up, many titles are already out of contention for reasons away from pure excellence.

Joker and Jojo Rabbit are just too edgy for voters.

Conversely, Little Women andFord v Ferrari play it too safe (though that certainly didn’t stop Green Book last year!).

Once Upon a Time has not gained traction in this category throughout this awards season.

JoJo Rabbitm with Hitler as a character, is too controversial to win Best Picture. Picture: Twentieth Century Fox
JoJo Rabbitm with Hitler as a character, is too controversial to win Best Picture. Picture: Twentieth Century Fox
Parasite is the biggest wildcard chance for Best Picture.
Parasite is the biggest wildcard chance for Best Picture.

DESERVES TO WIN, BUT WON’T:

The real wildcard chance here is South Korea’s Parasite. This irresistible fable has quietly become a box-office phenomenon around the world.

The Netflix-produced prestige features The Irishman and Marriage Story would both be likely winners in most other years. However, their direct link to the streaming giant is a massive strike against their chances.

The Irishman would likely win in any other year. Picture: Netflix
The Irishman would likely win in any other year. Picture: Netflix
1917 is Leigh Paatsch’s pick for Best Picture.
1917 is Leigh Paatsch’s pick for Best Picture.

AND THE WINNER IS …

1917. A superior war film with an unusual visual design, 1917 has surged to the forefront of Best Picture calculations after stringing together an impressive sequence of “lesser” awards in the past month.

In addition to its clear quality and trailblazing camera work, the movie’s ability to appeal to every demographic should ensure success.

Although the similarly themed (and equally technically accomplished) Dunkirk was overlooked by the same voting body just a few years ago.

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Originally published as Oscars form guide: Who will win Best Picture?

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