It is too soon to write off Trump’s election chances
This year’s general election campaign will unfold in an environment unlike any other in recent US history. Despite Mr Biden’s lead in the polls, it’s clear that there is still time for this to become a real race.
Can Donald Trump pull a rabbit out of the hat and win re-election as US president? Not according to most pundits, reflecting the widespread disapproval of his job performance. But don’t write him off yet.
Amid a pandemic, a recession, and a period of civil unrest, it would be difficult for any incumbent to win re-election – let alone one as polarising as Trump. He trails Democrat Joe Biden by eight points in the average of national polls compiled by the FiveThirtyEight website. State-by-state polls suggest his path to a majority in the electoral college is daunting.
