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Goldman’s 73-minute recession says everything about a reeling market

It was the 73-minute recession, all thanks to Donald Trump’s about-face on the sweeping tariffs that had markets in turmoil all week.

As the United States and China slid into a full-blown trade war, economists at Goldman Sachs were forecasting the worst. Telling clients that the White House was “unlikely to quickly reverse most of the new tariffs”, the Wall Street giant’s economics team put the chance of a recession for the world’s largest economy within the next 12 months at 65 per cent.

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Kylar Loussikian is the Financial Review’s deputy editor – business. Email Kylar at kloussikian@afr.com
Timothy Moore writes on equities, commodities and monetary policy. He writes Before the Bell and contributes to the Markets Live blog. Connect with Timothy on Twitter. Email Timothy at timothy.moore@afr.com
Joyce Moullakis is an Associate Editor writing across company news, policy issues, investment banking, private equity and financial services. Connect with Joyce on Twitter. Email Joyce at joyce.moullakis@nine.com.au

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/world/north-america/goldman-lifts-probability-of-us-recession-to-65pc-20250410-p5lqlv