After the most consequential phase of the war since the Battle for Kyiv, Vladimir Putin is on the ropes for the first time.
Ukraine has just recaptured thousands of square kilometres in the north-east, while successes also being reported in the critical battle for Kherson, in the south.
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Misha Zelinsky is a Fulbright Scholar, a former assistant national secretary Australian Workers' Union, and expert associate at the National Security College.