Too early to call, but demographics are trending Labor’s way
You would be mad to bet against Morrison six weeks out. But a significant number of aspirational voters are sticking with Labor at the ages they normally begin to vote for the Coalition.
We’re now almost six weeks out from a May 21 election or four weeks out if you’re voting early. That’s a hint, folks, if you want the pain in your head to stop.
While the demographic and political cards are still stacked in support of Labor, Prime Minister Scott Morrison has already started to whittle away Labor’s early lead; from 55/45 a month ago, to 54/46 a week ago, to 53/47 on Monday. It happened in 2019 and, as I warned last column, it’s way too early to organise the sympathy cards for Morrison.
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John Black is a former Labor senator for Queensland. He is executive chairman of profiling company Australian Development Strategies, and of Education Geographics.
