Former New Zealand prime minister Bill English has warned that an escalating US-China trade war and falling property prices may lead to "stagflation" – a period of high inflation and unemployment, and low growth – in Australia.
He said one possible outlook for 2030 was a return to the recessions of the 1970s, but that few Australians today could imagine unemployment climbing to 8 per cent.
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Bo Seo is a journalist for The Australian Financial Review based in the Sydney office. Email Bo at bo.seo@afr.com.au