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Jennifer Parker

Minimise capability gap while waiting for the new fleet to surface

Ten years from now, Australia will have its most potent navy in decades. In the interim, it will have the least capable in more than half a century.

Last week, the outgoing commander of the United States Indo-Pacific command referred to China’s strategy in the region as a “boiling frog” strategy – gradually increasing the pressure within the region, with the “ultimate” danger under-appreciated.

This year has so far been a year of government defence announcements. Many have rightly focused on Australia’s status and vulnerabilities as an island trading nation. A nation whose daily survival depends on the fuel, fertiliser, pharmaceuticals and other essentials that are imported by sea.

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is an expert associate at the national security college ANU and a non-resident fellow at the Lowy Institute with over 20 years experience in the Royal Australian Navy.

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/policy/foreign-affairs/minimise-capability-gap-while-waiting-for-the-new-fleet-to-surface-20240430-p5fnkh