NewsBite

Opinion

John Dizard

Remember 1929 when trying to identify the coming financial crisis

To find the point of vulnerability in the US financial markets, I believe we have to look for the least legally flexible credit securities that can move the fastest from low risk to visibly defaulted. Those would be the commercial mortgage-backed securities.

It has not yet been recognised that Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death significantly raises the likelihood of a US-centric financial crisis this northern autumn.

The continued forbearance by lenders and bond trustees, the rule-waiving and the explicit belief in further fiscal stimulus have all depended on the assumption that Congress would be open to any negotiations between the parties. But the possibility of any agreement has been damaged by fury among Democrats at President Donald Trump’s insistence that RBG’s successor must be appointed before the election.

Loading...

Financial Times

John Dizard is a columnist for the Financial Times.

Latest In Debt markets

Fetching latest articles

Most Viewed In Markets

    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/markets/debt-markets/remember-1929-when-trying-to-identify-the-coming-financial-crisis-20200927-p55znn