How a declining birth rate will reshape the world
Even before the pandemic, population growth across the world was falling. But do you really want people to have more children?
In the days when we were still disinfecting our groceries and stockpiling toilet rolls, there was speculation that lockdowns might produce a baby boom: couples were stuck at home – what else was there to do? Instead, as the pandemic has worn on, maternity wards have become quieter. Birth rates have plummeted across much of Europe, the US and Asia.
Provisional data for England and Wales suggests the number of births fell by 3.9 per cent last year and the first quarter of this year, which would put the fertility rate at a record low. It turns out – and it seems obvious now – that the horror and uncertainty of a pandemic has a dramatic contraceptive effect: the monthly fertility rate in England and Wales in December last year and January this year, about nine months after Britain shut down, fell by 8.1 per cent and 10.2 per cent year-on-year respectively. A record number of women in England and Wales had abortions last year.
New Statesman
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