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This is the only outcome markets should fear in Iran-Israel conflict

Markets have reacted predictably to the Israeli attacks on Iran: oil up, gold up, stocks down. But investors need to work through the scenarios of Iran’s response. 

Amid all the turmoil on markets in recent months, the fall in the price of oil – down from $US80 a barrel in January to a low of $US55 a barrel in early May – has been a little ray of sunshine. It has acted as a counter to any inflationary pressure from tariffs, and provided a tailwind for consumers and businesses straining under an interest rate environment that remains very different to the one they’ve known for the past decade.

So the sharp spike in oil following Israel’s air strikes against Iran – crude leapt 12 per cent to around $US77 a barrel – is a headache global markets didn’t need.

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James Thomson is senior Chanticleer columnist based in Melbourne. He was the Companies editor and editor of BRW Magazine. Connect with James on Twitter. Email James at j.thomson@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/chanticleer/this-is-the-only-outcome-markets-should-fear-in-iran-israel-conflict-20250613-p5m793