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Jun Bei Liu

August

Commodity prices put the brakes on markets.

Two wrong calls: Why fundies couldn’t beat the market in FY24

There were two key calls to make in FY24 if you wanted to at least keep up with the ASX 200. Get one of those trades wrong and that’s your year’s performance gone.

  • Updated

July

Any price weakness should be used to reset exposures for the next economic upswing and rate cutting cycle.

Investors chasing the rally should get ready for an ‘upswing’

Investing will remain difficult as we go through the final stages of the slowdown, but this is the time where you can also find stocks that are not yet priced for an improving backdrop in the bargain bin.

May

Tribeca’s Jun Bei Liu.

These stocks are primed for ‘tectonic-sized’ tailwinds

The magnificent seven are not the only way to play artificial intelligence, there’s money to be made in storage, energy and software on the ASX too.

April

Tribeca’s Jun Bei Liu says the  market is just starting a new up-cycle.

Why investors should ignore the sell-off and stay in the game

While the equity rally may have stalled after a blistering first quarter, the market is just starting a new up-cycle which should be measured in years rather than weeks or months.

February

Earnings are being revised lower for the past 12 months and are expected to end fiscal 2024 down around 5 per cent.

A powerful mechanism is at play that will propel equities higher

The surprise in the current reporting season is not that earnings are coming in better than expected, but that investors didn’t see it coming.

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January

Jun Bei Liu of Tribeca.

Get ready for a robust upswing in the sharemarket

Consensus once again tells us to take a cautious approach to equities, but we believe investors should be positioning for a much stronger year ahead.

October 2023

Sector heavyweight CSL has fallen over 20 per cent in the last six months.

Unloved healthcare stocks can reinvent themselves

Those betting on the demise of blue-chip healthcare stocks such as CSL and ResMed might want to rethink based on a review of Microsoft and Apple’s histories.

September 2023

NextDC chief executive Craig Scroggie.

Here’s how ASX investors can play the AI boom

Australia may initially appear to offer limited avenues for investing in artificial intelligence, but within the realm of AI development, companies like NextDC and Goodman Group stand out.

July 2023

The next six months will present some of the best buying opportunities in retail stocks.

The hidden gems in the Australian sharemarket

Volatility and near-term weaknesses in the market are not indicative of a bleak future, but rather an opportunity to identify undervalued assets with immense growth potential.

May 2023

The ASX 200, along with other global sharemarket indices, has shown a healthy uptrend since the beginning of the year.

Why Australian equities are set for a strong rally

Australian shares are likely to avoid the deep downgrades that are unfolding elsewhere in the world, most notably in the US.

March 2023

Liu nominates the Chinese consumer as the best reopening play.

Why I’m not giving up on the China reopening theme

Tribeca’s Jun Bei Liu says China’s reopening is only getting started, and names five ASX stocks set to benefit.

January 2023

Just as each and every economic recession is different, so too is the impact of an economic slowdown on corporate earnings.

How stock selection can help recession proof investment decisions

Owning stocks with pricing power is like winning the lottery because it allows a company to protect its profit margins.

November 2022

Focusing too heavily on the macro headlines and headwinds and tarring everything with the same brush ignores an environment that is ripe for stock picking and active management.

Investors, don’t be another macro trader

Positive equity market developments have been overlooked due to the obsession with inflation, tightening monetary conditions, and rising recession risks.

  • Updated

September 2022

Early signs of weakness are showing in the bottom-tier consumer, who was generally the key beneficiary of excessive stimulus.

US economy doing better than rocky Wall Street

The challenge for the Fed is that the economy is going a little too well, meaning more volatility ahead for stocks as investors try to decipher its inflation fighting playbook.

July 2022

The 2022 bear market in growth stocks has been brutal.

Key themes to shape the coming reporting season

This may well be the retailers’ last hurrah before we enter into a tougher environment, and this Christmas is looking increasingly like it will be a particularly a hard one.

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May 2022

Ggood quality companies are good quality. regardless of where interest rates are.

Quality companies are still king in a rising rate environment

Investment returns are generated by picking high quality companies, not by betting on macroeconomic conditions, writes Jun Bei-Liu.

March 2022

Confidence will return, and quality names will be the first to close the valuation gap.

Are we really heading for stagflation?

Australia is not susceptible to this dangerous growth-inflation mix: financial conditions are desirable, reporting season was one of the best on record, and balance sheets are robust.

January 2022

Weakness in high multiple growth stocks and sectors reflects valuation concerns off the back of
rising interest rates.

Why Tribeca’s Jun Bei Liu is still bullish on equities

A solid earnings outlook together with reasonable valuations and an attractive dividend yield should see the market easily post double-digit gains.

October 2021

Extreme price discrepancies are unlikely to be sustained.

Don’t follow the herd into the market abyss

Be contrarian and don’t let another salesperson tell you that buying Wesfarmers is a reopening trade. There are better opportunities to be found.

August 2021

This earnings season has revealed winners and losers of the pandemic.

Woolies, Wesfarmers are expensive profit season winners

Wesfarmers and Woolworths are both examples of crowded trades where valuation seems to have slipped off the investor’s chart book. In contrast, Ramsay is an incredible value opportunity, writes Jun Bei Liu, lead portfolio manager of the Tribeca Alpha Plus Fund.

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/by/jun-bei-liu-p4yw2g