The Phantom’s Round 5 AFL SuperCoach review

THE Phantom takes a close look at a selection of fallen premiums and the best time to trade in his Round 5 wrap. RE-LIVE THE LIVE CHAT

Heath Shaw is approaching bargain territory. Picture: Justin Lloyd

‘FALLEN premium’ are two words that should have every SuperCoach licking their lips.

And entering Round 6 there are several who The Phantom is looking at very closely.

Find out who he has his eye on in his review of the AFL’s Round 5.

Re-live the live chat with The Phantom in the module below

The Phantom’s Round 5 score: 2221

Overall ranking: 15,643

TRADE TIPS: SUPERCOACH SUPERSTAR BARGAIN GUIDE

MARKET WATCH

JUMP ON

Kade Simpson (Carl) $472,800

Average: 82, Breakeven: 101

Simpson recovered from a slow start against the Power to post a respectable 91 points, in a team which was comprehensively beaten, suggesting he is working back into some form. While his break-even in round six is still reasonably high, The Phantom believes Simpson is every chance of passing it, meaning this is the week to start jumping on. While his price won’t be shooting up too quickly just yet, it’s unlikely he will get much cheaper. If you’re not bringing in the Carlton veteran, who has lost more than $100k off his starting price tag, this week, make sure he is in your plans over the next fortnight.

Heath Shaw (GWS) $485,200

Average: 86, Breakeven: 112

Like Simpson, Shaw’s break-even is still more than 100, meaning he is not a now-or-never proposition. But the Giants take on the Bulldogs on Friday night and the playmaking defender averages a huge 152 in past three matches against the reigning premier. Again, you could wait a week and take the chance Shaw fails to score more than 100 points for a fifth week in a row, but it’s unlikely he is getting much cheaper than this.

Once you’ve made the call on the fallen premiums in defence, the question becomes who makes way? And that question has become even harder to answer after popular cash cows Curtly Hampton (Score: 103, BE: 12), Andy Otten (101, 2), Caleb Marchbank (76, 34) and Tom Stewart (70, -12) all scored well over the weekend to maintain relatively low break-evens heading into Round 6. If you do not have any other obvious trade options in defence, given you can afford to wait a week on Simpson and Shaw, look at banking some cash elsewhere and let these cows make you some more money.

Dan Hannebery (Syd) $540,600

Average: 88, Breakeven: 109

After a disappointing opening two rounds, the star Swan has lifted significantly to post scores of 112, 95 and 112 in the past three weeks. Hannebery eclipsed his break-even in Round 5, adding $2k to his heavily discounted price tag, and, with Carlton, Brisbane, North Melbourne, St Kilda and Hawthorn up next for the Swans, The Phantom is backing this trend to continue.

Heath Shaw is available at a bargain price. Picture: Justin Lloyd

KEEP AN EYE ON

Scott Pendlebury (Coll) $595,700

Average: 110, Breakeven: 187

The Collingwood skipper averaged 130 in the opening three rounds, pushing his price pass the $650k mark, but, after failing to score more than 100 points in consecutive weeks, that figure has taken a huge plunge. Pendlebury’s 67 SuperCoach points on Anzac Day, on the back of just 20 disposals, was his lowest return since Round 3, 2012. His record in between is nothing short of phenomenal. The SuperCoach star scored more than 100 points in 91 of his 107 games, without dropping below 80. If you don’t have him, don’t miss out on what could be a once-in-a-lifetime bargain in a few week’s time.

David Myers (Ess) $133,700

One of the most popular SuperCoach players over the pre-season, before a hand injury sidelined him, Myers made an impressive return in the VFL at the weekend. The 27-year-old collected 34 disposals, eight marks and seven tackles and should be back in the senior side very soon, just in time to be a perfect downgrade option. Given his scoring ability and job security, don’t be afraid to break the rules and go early on Myers when he’s named.

David Myers in action for Essendon’s VFL team. Picture: Michael Klein

THE PHANTOM’S PLAYER OF THE WEEK

Adam Treloar (Coll)

Another classic example of why you hold your premiums and back them in. After a week when his kicking struggles were highlighted — Treloar ranked equal-first for turnovers among the top-50 ball-winners in the competition heading into Round 5 — the young Magpie came out on Anzac Day and had 26 handballs, among 39 disposals. Add to that 20 contestest possessions and 12 tackles and Treloar finished with a game-high 141 points.