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SuperCoach Investor: Why Richmond’s Jake Aarts is a priority trade for Round 6

He’s the rookie most KFC SuperCoaches are targeting this week, but how much do you know about Jake Aarts? KFC SuperCoach Investor Dan Begala looks at the Richmond forward’s prospects.

The stress of not having Lachie Neale | The KFC AFL SuperCoach Podcast

The market was rocked and investors left in absolute despair following the immediate trading halt to popular penny stock, Matthew Rowell, who looks destined for an extended stint on the sidelines.

There were sub-2000 point scores galore and coaches left reeling by the underwhelming performances of many household names in Round 5.

FULL TRADE GUIDE: KEY INTEL FOR ROUND 6 OF KFC SUPERCOACH

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We’re almost a third of the way through the season, FY20, and it is time to cash in on the likes of Matthew Rowell and focus our attention on the “fallen angels” of the competition.

The KFC SuperCoach Investor, Daniel Begala, shares his guidance on value investment and distinguishing the “fallen angels” from the “fading stars” in what looms as a pivotal block of games for most coaches.

Lachie Neale continues to elude SuperCoach Investor Dan Begala.
Lachie Neale continues to elude SuperCoach Investor Dan Begala.

FALLEN ANGELS VS. FADING STARS

The key ingredient to FY20, folks, is value investing and seeking this at every opportunity.

Yes, Lachie Neale continues — for the second-year straight — to elude my side, but I welcome the challenge and will continue to acquire the underpriced building blocks until a suitable time presents.

This is patience. This is strategy. This is value investing.

They were once high-and-mighty, ladies and gentlemen, but several stocks have plummeted in value and attracted the immediate attention of The SuperCoach Investor.

The only issue, however, is distinguishing whether you’re pursuing a “fallen angel” experiencing temporary tough times or, alternatively, a “fading star” that’s on their way out and facing KFC SuperCoach mortality.

Seek the former. Avoid the latter. Simple as that, right?

Wrong – it’s like trying to catch a falling knife!

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It’s fraught with danger, but if you’re able to forecast the true bottom and acquire the stock prior to its rebound, the rewards and profitability could be season defining in FY20.

The ultimate “Fallen Angels” – in my humble investment opinion – are Lachie Whitfield ($441K, BE 78) and West Coast dynamo, Elliot Yeo ($479K, BE 98), who are grossly undervalued and all-but certainties to turn the tide on their year-to-date investment returns.

Whitfield — by no fault of his own — was thrust into a downward spiral following the concussion encountered in Round 3 that led to a drastic cut of his weekly dividend (7 SC) and broke the heart of many coaches – myself included.

This was Whitfield’s intermittent “tough time”.

Was it sustained? No.

Will his dividends be impacted long term? No.

There’s nothing to see here, folks, except extraordinary value that – if you blink – will be missed.

The same goes for West Coast talisman, Elliot Yeo, who roared back into form in Round 5 (121 SC) and is available at a $106K discount to his lofty starting price.

Lachie Whitfield has tumbled to less than $450,000 in KFC SuperCoach.
Lachie Whitfield has tumbled to less than $450,000 in KFC SuperCoach.

Yeo faces the struggling Crows in Round 6 and will soon be homeward bound with 6-7 games scheduled in Western Australia.

Home is where the heart is, after all, and home is where you’ll find a key arbitrage opportunity and must-have ingredient for your KFC SuperCoach portfolio.

It’s vital that you’re forward thinking, too, as The KFC SuperCoach Investor’s next target will be future blue-chipper, Bailey Smith ($459K, BE 171), who could be available for as little as $396K in Round 8 and the perfect F6 to round out a star-studded forward line.

AARTS & CRAFT

Jake Aarts ($123K, FWD) should be the priority for investors this week given his seamless debut and mammoth opportunity that lay ahead over the upcoming five fixtures for Richmond.

The path has been cleared for this penny stock, Aarts, to appreciate handsomely following the absence of key Richmond personnel as the KFC SuperCoach Stock Exchange departs Collins Street, its rightful home, and heads north.

My plan – if Jake Aarts hadn’t debuted – would have been the acquisition of the “fallen angels”, Yeo and Whitfield, at the expense of Rowell and Brett Bewley ($355K, FWD).

This, however, won’t be coming to fruition as I’ll likely opt for Whitfield (via Rowell) and Aarts (via Noble/Brander) following team selection on Thursday.

Aarts is a mature-aged recruit, boasts strong job security and trumps the double upgrade, Yeo and Whitfield, that I’d initially flagged as my trade strategy this week given the scarcity of quality on-field rookies this season.

It’s been difficult creating liquidity in FY20, investors, so it’s essential that you avoid the temptation to overlook Aarts in favour of a short-term upgrade.

Lock him in at F6 and throw away the key.

And most importantly, don’t stare this gift horse in the mouth!

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Originally published as SuperCoach Investor: Why Richmond’s Jake Aarts is a priority trade for Round 6

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