SuperCoach 2016: Top scores, trade advice after AFL Round 2
WELCOME to one of the biggest weeks on the SuperCoach calendar. Trading is a must before prices chance and league matches start this weekend. So who do we pick and who do we dump?
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IT’S Round 3 week and that means the SuperCoach trade shop is open for business.
Trading should always be treated with caution — we only have 30 for the season, after all — but this week you can forget all that.
Player prices haven’t changed yet but they will after a player’s third game. For most players that is after this weekend, which means we need to move now to make sure we dump the players holding our teams back and pounce on the players about to skyrocket in price.
It is especially important to ensure you have the right rookies — these are the guys who will generate the most cash that we can use to trade more superstars into our squads during the year.
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Most experienced SuperCoach players allow for two “corrective trades” this week to make sure their teams are in top shape for the price changes — which also happen to coincide with the start of head-to-head matches in 18-team leagues.
This is also the last week we’ll get SuperCoach Gold for free, so make the most of it. (Then sign up for a full season pass!)
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So, who should we be looking to trade in and out this week?
You can get a heads-up on price movements by checking out a players’ break-even score — that’s the number they need to hit to maintain their current price.
The player with the lowest break-even is Sydney forward Tom Papley. After topping 100 in his first two games, a score of anything above -149 will lead to a price jump. We’re tipping he’ll do that against GWS.
Negative break-evens equal a guaranteed price rise and the lower the better — if Papley scores well again his score could stay in the negative for a few more weeks, delivering the regular price rises we are looking for to really fatten our cash cows.
SCROLL DOWN FOR THE BEST TRADE TARGETS PLUS THIS WEEK’S TOP SCORES
Essendon’s Mitch Brown (-46) and Matt Dea (-41) and popular cheapies Jacob Weitering, Mitch McGovern, Lincoln McCarthy, Callum Mills, Clayton Oliver and Wayne Milera all have negative break-evens, but they’ll need some good scores to keep the BE low.
On the other side of the coin, Dane Swan has the highest break-even of 334 — if he doesn’t score that in his next match, his price will plummet.
That’s tough on Swanny after an early injury in Round 1 led to a score of 0, but other big guns who haven’t met expectations in the first two rounds are due for a price cut, which is bad news if they are in your team but good news if they aren’t — you might be able to pick them up at a bargain price in coming weeks.
Heath Shaw (break-even 194), Todd Goldstein (185), Nat Fyfe (174) and Scott Pendlebury (167) all fit in this category.
We wouldn’t be trading them out given their SuperCoach history — thousands of coaches who offloaded Fyfe a week ago are kicking themselves now after be bounced back with 157 against Gold Coast — but if you have the likes of Michael Barlow, Tom Rockliff or Jack Billings the trade finger would be very itchy indeed.
Read on for our best options for trading in and out in one of the biggest weeks on the SuperCoach calendar. Let’s go shopping!
MUST-HAVE ROOKIES
Tom Papley (Syd) $109,900 fwd
Scores: 104, 109
Break-even: -149
Projected price change: + $114k
Marcus Adams (WB) $117,300 def/fwd
Scores: 82, 135
Break-even: -149
Projected price change: + $114k
Marcus Adams ranks equal 5th in the AFL for disposals inside the defensive 50. #AFLFantasy #SuperCoach
— Fantasy Freako (@FantasyFreako) April 3, 2016
Sam Kerridge (Carl) $137,600 mid/fwd
Scores: 86, 106
Break-even: -112
Projected price change: + $72k
Ben Kennedy (Melb) $187,800 mid/fwd
Scores: 115, 105
Break-even: -110
Projected price change: + $78k
Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti (Ess) $102,400 def/fwd
Scores: 50, 84
Break-even: -74
Projected price change: + $63k
George Hewett (Syd) $123,900 mid
Scores: 96, 48
Break-even: -72
Projected price change: + $64k
Ryan Davis (GC) $102,400 mid
Scores: 57, 63
Break-even: -60
Projected price change: + $53k
Connor Menadue (Rich) $155,400 mid/fwd
Scores: 80, 63
Break-even: -52
Projected price change: + $44k
Darcy Parish (Ess) $202,800 mid
Scores: 69, 97
Break-even: -48
Projected price change: + $58k
TRADE TARGETS
If you’ve got most of the players listed above, you can look to improve your team by jumping on one of the early surprise packets below while they are still affordable.
Daniel Wells (NM) 243,900 mid/fwd
Scores: 99, 121
Break-even: -78
Projected price change: + $64k
Tom Liberatore (WB) $357,300
Scores: 115, 118
Break-even: -24
Projected price change: + $64k
Jason Johanissen (WB) $418,200 def
Scores: 130, 123
Break-even: -9
Projected price change: + $42k
Aaron Hall (GC) $428,100 mid/fwd
Scores: 129, 124
Break-even: -3
Projected price change: +$51k
Jack Martin (GC) $386,300 fwd
Scores: 91, 111
Break-even: 24
Projected price change: + $31k
Zach Merrett (Ess) $477,400
Scores: 114, 131
Break-even: 34
Projected price change: + $36k
David Zaharakis (Ess) $414,800 mid
Scores: 132, 133
Break-even: -23
Projected price change: + $59k
IN TROUBLE
Consider trading out...
Sam Jacobs (Adel) ruck
Scores: 64, 74
Break-even: 202
Projected price change: - $45k
Tom Rockliff (BL) mid
Scores: 89, 48
Break-even: 184
Projected price change: - $38k
Josh P. Kennedy (Syd) mid
Scores: 75, 95
Break-even: 177
Projected price change: - $37k
Michael Barlow (Frem) mid/fwd
Scores: 61, 60
Break-even: 174
Projected price change: - $46k
Barlow and Rocky on the nose#supercoach pic.twitter.com/3eoNkkhDXM
— SuperCoach AFL (@Supercoach) April 4, 2016
Travis Boak (PA) $525,200 mid
Scores: 58, 87
Break-even: 168
Projected price change: - $37k
Mitch Duncan (Geel) $493,000 mid
Scores: 108, 25
Break-even: 155
Projected price change: - $32k
Jack Billings (StK) $455,100 fwd
Scores: 68, 64
Break-even: 134
Projected price change: - $28k
ROUND 2 STARS
191 Josh Gibson (Haw)
174 Jarrad Waite (NM)
157 Nat Fyfe (Frem)
148 Dayne Zorko (BL)
144 Sam Mitchell (Haw)
WEEKLY TOP SCORES
2650 the spoilers, carmela
2600 Take it from me, Damon
2555 See Myfanwy Fly Up, James
2534 Fyfe007, Nick
2529 suhdude, Jack
OVERALL LEADERS
4851 Pud’s Pups, Zane
4845 Fourthorn, Nicholas
4808 Wooders, Lachlan
4807 REV, Ryan
4805 BURST, Brad
THIS WEEK’S WINNING TEAM
Team: the spoilers
Coach: Carmela Cambrea, Vic
Score: 2650
Prize: $3000
DEFENDERS
Josh Gibson 191
Jason Johanissen 123
Marcus Adams 135
Bachar Houli 127
Heath Shaw 74
Anthony McDonald-Tipungwuti 84
Zak Jones 34
Josh Cowan 0
MIDFIELDERS
Gary Ablett 120
Robbie Gray 129
Tom Liberatore 118
Dan Hannebery 121
Ben Kennedy 105
Nat Fyfe 314 (c)
George Hewett 48
Callum Mills 68
Darcy Parish 97
Ryan Davis 63
Josh Dunkley 33
RUCKS
Shane Mumford 105
Sam Jacobs 74
Sam Grimley 0
FORWARDS
Eddie Betts 142
Daniel Wells 121
Dustin Martin 134
Tom Papley 109
Lance Franklin 102
Sam Kerridge 106
Mitch Brown 72
Mitch McGovern 61
PLAYER OF THE WEEK: JOSH GIBSON
Gibson tallied 44 disposals against the Eagles on his way to a round-high 191 SuperCoach points. His ball use was outstanding, recording a disposal efficiency of 84 per cent. He recorded 34 uncontested possessions, of which 24 were directly from handball-receives, as well as three score assists, one goal and a game-high 11 score involvements.
CHAMPION DATA MARKET WATCH
Dayne Zorko
Zorko dominated in his first outing of the season, scoring 148 SuperCoach points against the Kangaroos — ranked second for the game. He finished with 24 disposals, 15 uncontested possessions, five clearances, five tackles and five inside-50s. He also hit the scoreboard with two goals and recording an equal team-high 12 score involvements.
Tom Mitchell
Mitchell continued his solid start to the season with 133 SuperCoach points against the Blues, of which 97 were recorded in the first half. He finished with team highs of 34 disposals, nine tackles and eight clearances from 77 per cent game time. He failed to score a goal but recorded three score assists and 10 score involvements.
Jason Johannisen
Johannisen is on track for a breakout season after adding 123 SuperCoach points to his Round 1 tally. He hit the target with 23 of 27 disposals against the Saints and ranked No. 1 on the ground for metres gained with 564. He also recorded 21 uncontested possessions, three tackles, three score assists and one goal.
YOUNG GUN: TOM PAPLEY
Papley continues to deliver, reaching three figures for the second round in succession with 109 SuperCoach points against Carlton. He was one of five multiple goalscorers for the Swans with two goals, also recording two score assists and seven score involvements. He finished with 17 disposals, 12 contested possessions and two inside-50s from 82 per cent game time.
Originally published as SuperCoach 2016: Top scores, trade advice after AFL Round 2
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