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Autumn was one of the wettest on record but a soggy Winter is looking increasingly likely

Queensland has just set an astonishing new weather benchmark – smashing century-old records – with warnings that the unprecedented conditions are far from over.

Australia experiences its fourth warmest autumn on record

Autumn was one of the wettest in Queensland’s history smashing 100 year records and daily totals, but the forecast for winter is looking just as soggy.

Greater Brisbane received three times as much rain as average between March and May with Alderley weather station recording a drenching 945.6mm in the period.

Senior climatologist Hugh McDowell said the start of the year didn’t just feel wet the data says it was historic.

“We saw 50 days with any amount of rainfall and that could be anywhere from a few spots to quite wet days,” Mr McDowell said.

“It is actually the wettest March on record at that new Brisbane station and that goes back to 1999, so years – with 604mm, approximately.

“It’s not the most rainfall we have ever seen in Brisbane. They had wetter days of 800mm or more way back in the 1870s but it is a record for the new site.”

Drenching rains hammered much of Queensland and the east coast of Australia between March and May. Picture: Albert Perez/Getty Images
Drenching rains hammered much of Queensland and the east coast of Australia between March and May. Picture: Albert Perez/Getty Images

Data from across Brisbane’s weather stations showed the period was unseasonable wet and warm, with Toombul Bowls Club smashing a 1908 Autumn daily record with a whopping 448mm recorded back in March.

The strange conditions were the result of Subtropical high pressure systems in northern Australia that drifted further south than usual and bought warm weather and plenty of moisture.

The unique conditions helped drag Tropical Cyclone Alfred south where it unleashed in early March, Mr McDowell said expected winter to also be unusually wet.

“The forecast for Brisbane for rainfall is a 55 per cent chance above median rainfall, 10 per cent chance of unusually dry and a 35 per cent chance of seeing really wet conditions,” he said.

“We are also very likely, an 80 per cent chance, to see above median maximum temperatures for this time of the year as well.”

Above average sea surface temperatures across Queensland’s coast and a forecasted negative Indian Ocean Dipole which is the Indian Ocean equivalent to La Nina, was expected to bring greater cloud formation and subsequent rain in the coming months.

Queensland rainfall totals for autumn. Picture: BOM
Queensland rainfall totals for autumn. Picture: BOM

Farm manager Maple Egerton at The Folly Truffles in Ballandean was hoping for cooler weather after months of drenching rain had stopped her truffles from ripening.

“Once it starts to cool down that’s when they start to get really smelly, nice and ripe,” she said.

“By now we would have expected to have had a couple of frosts and a couple of weeks of consistent cool temperatures for them to do their ripening but instead we’ve really had warmish days and rain.

“When we have rain that kind of keeps the cloud around and it kind of keeps the temperature up, but today the wind is picking up and it does have that real wintry feel about it.”

Originally published as Autumn was one of the wettest on record but a soggy Winter is looking increasingly likely

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Original URL: https://www.thechronicle.com.au/news/queensland/autumn-was-one-of-the-wettest-on-record-but-a-soggy-winter-is-looking-increasingly-likely/news-story/7f8bc12c9755d48f55639da4321367be