Ultimate Brownlow Predictor: Which games are players guaranteed to poll three votes?
TOM Mitchell had a whopping 11 games with more than 40 disposals in 2018. But how many of those will he poll three votes in? From Max Gawn to Jordan de Goey, check out our guide to the biggest Brownlow certainties of the year.
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JUST how many games is Tom Mitchell a lock to poll three votes in?
The superstar Hawk broke the 50-possesion barrier twice in 2018 and had another three games of 45 disposals or more.
Add to that another six games of at least 40 touches and it is easy to see why he is $1.60 to take home the top prize.
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The TAB will be eagerly watching on Brownlow night, with the bookmaker opening markets on which player will poll three Brownlow Medal votes in each game of the 2018 season.
The prolific Hawk is $1.05 — shorter odds than Winx has ever been — to poll maximum votes in Round 1 when he amassed 54 disposals against Collingwood, in Round 18 when he had 46 touches and two goals against Carlton and in Round 19 when he notched up another 42 possessions and two goals.
The two other games this season that have been rated as $1.05 chances to poll three votes were Andrew Gaff’s 41 disposal and two goal game against GWS in Round 16 and Jack Riewoldt’s 10-goal haul against Gold Coast in round 21.
These are the best games of the season according to TAB bookmakers.
TOM MITCHELL v Collingwood in round 1
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.05
20 kicks, 34 handballs, 27 contested possessions, nine clearances and nine score involvements
167 SuperCoach points
ANDREW GAFF v GWS in round 16
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.05
22 kicks, 19 handballs, two goals, six clearances and six score involvements
123 SuperCoach points
TOM MITCHELL v Carlton in round 18
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.05
21 kicks, 25 handballs, two goals, nine tackles, six clearances, 12 score involvements
192 SuperCoach points
TOM MITCHELL v Fremantle in round 19
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.05
18 kicks, 24 handballs, two goals, seven clearances, 13 score involvements
150 SuperCoach points
JACK RIEWOLDT v Gold Coast in round 21
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.05
23 kicks, 14 marks, 10 goals, six behinds, 20 score involvements
219 SuperCoach points
ROBBIE GRAY v Adelaide in round 8
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.08
11 kicks, nine handballs, six goals, five clearances, eight score involvements
122 SuperCoach points
JORDAN DE GOEY v St Kilda in round 9
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.08
Nine kicks, six marks, six goals, nine score involvements
111 SuperCoach points
LUKE BREUST v Western Bulldogs in round 16
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.08
13 kicks, 11 handballs, eight marks, six goals, seven tackles, 13 score involvements
165 SuperCoach points
JAKE MELKSHAM v Carlton in round 9
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.10
14 kicks, seven handballs, five goals, 15 score involvements
160 SuperCoach points
NAT FYFE v Gold Coast in round 3
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.10
20 kicks, 18 handballs, 24 contested possessions, eight tackles, one goal, 14 clearances, 12 score involvements
160 SuperCoach points
MAX GAWN v Essendon in round 6
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.10
8 kicks, 8 handballs, six marks, two goals, five tackles, 42 hit-outs, nine score involvements
168 SuperCoach points
ANDREW GAFF v Hawthorn in round 10
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.10
24 kicks, 11 handballs, 12 marks, one goal, seven clearances, six score involvements
135 SuperCoach points
SHANE EDWARDS v Essendon in round 11
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.10
18 kicks, 13 handballs, two goals, five clearances, 12 score involvements, 685 metres gained
142 SuperCoach points
LACHIE WHITFIELD v Adelaide in round 21
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.10
23 kicks, seven handballs, 11 marks, one goal, nine score involvements, 673 metres gained
130 SuperCoach points
PATRICK DANGERFIELD v Gold Coast in round 23
TAB odds of polling three votes: $1.10
20 kicks, 14 handballs, nine marks, four goals, six clearances, 15 score involvements
187 SuperCoach points
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