SuperCoach Rookie Bible: Which cash cows to keep and who to trade after Round 14
BAYLEY Fritsch and Tom Doedee are still in tens of thousands of SuperCoach teams but as we get closer to finished squads — and run out of trades — it’s time for some tough calls. EVERY ROOKIE RATED
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AS WE bid farewell to the bye rounds for another year, you should also be waving goodbye to most of the cash cows in your SuperCoach team.
Players such as Tom Doedee, Bayley Fritsch, Matt Guelfi and Sam Murray have served their purpose and you should be aiming to turn them into premium selections as soon as you can.
Doedee still features in more than 40 per cent of teams, which is understandable when his season average is 81.8 and most of his Adelaide teammates are injured.
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Fritsch is in 33 per cent of sides, but with a high break-even, the time has come to look at moving him on as well.
With trades at a premium for most coaches, you need to be selective about which rookies you upgrade and who will serve as cover for the rest of the year.
The name of the game is turning cash generated from rookies into points on field and the way to do that is by trading cash cows who have made the most money.
There is little point parting with the likes of Logan Austin, Paul Ahern or Tim Smith, who have only been recent additions to many sides and are early in their cash generation.
While their scores might not be in the range of Fritsch or Doedee, this trio can still offer handy bench cover and might be the difference between fielding a full team or bombing out of finals when injuries and late-season surgeries inevitably strike.
HOLD
Matt Guelfi ($308,900, FWD) — 63 points Breakeven: 51
Guelfi is one of the most consistent scorers of the season and his reliability makes him a viable candidate as your bench cover up forward for the reason of the season. In eight games, he’s scored between 61 and 76. You could get away with trading him this week if you are willing to risk Jack Billings or Jack Riewoldt at F7.
Reminder Jack Riewoldt is $324k in #supercoach. Cheaper than Holman, just $100k up from Tim Smith. Would love to get him as F7 and loophole with Fritsch but I have $400 in bank
— Al Paton (@al_superfooty) June 25, 2018
Paul Ahern ($175,200, FWD-MID) — 49 points BE: 0
The longer he stays in North Melbourne’s side, the better. Ahern will be decent cover should an injury issue arrive in midfield or up forward and could stop you burning a trade to cover a short-term absence. His score on the weekend was his lowest yet, so forgive him for it.
Tim Kelly ($435,800, MID) BE: 98
I know what weekly readers of the rookie bible are thinking. You’ve swung more times than a pendulum in a hurricane on what to do with Kelly! If you held him through his bye, it makes sense for the Geelong onballer to be your last midfield upgrade. Wait until you have enough cash to turn him into an uber-scorer like Josh Kelly. If that’s this week, go for it.
Tim Smith ($224,200, FWD) — 68 points BE: 42
Smith was back in the Demons’ side last week, nudging out Cam Pedersen for the role providing support to Max Gawn. He might be on the fringe of the best 22, but don’t move him on yet unless you need to.
Jaidyn Stephenson ($318,600, FWD-MID) — 70 points BE: 30
As if Collingwood fans needed more to gloat about! Stephenson is a beauty and his SuperCoach owners would have enjoyed him pushing his break-even back to 30 last week. His scores have been up and down throughout his debut campaign and you’d be best served using a loophole to bring him off the bench in midfield or attack if possible.
Logan Austin ($271,400, DEF) BE: 37
Unless his form wavers in the second half of the season, Austin would be unlucky to lose his place in the St Kilda side. He’s a young defender in a team destined to finish down the bottom and you would expect he’ll be given time to form a partnership with Jake Carlisle. That makes him an ideal option to mature in value on your defensive bench and make on-field appearances in case of emergency.
Brody Mihocek ($162,200, DEF) — 63 points BE: -1
Mihocek managed to keep his break-even in the negative, which was a positive for his ownership of more than 18 per cent. He’s not going to score well enough to be an on-field option but hold on to him until Ben Reid returns. That will be the time to see how Nathan Buckley uses them both in the same side or whether Mihocek is squeezed out.
Liam Ryan ($257,600, FWD) — 31 points BE: 80
Ryan’s two scores have been underwhelming since he returned from injury to the West Coast side. As a result, his break-even has skyrocketed from -88 to 80 in just two weeks. That will be of some concern for his owners, but it makes little sense trading him if you only opted to bring him in two weeks ago. Another who should be on the bench rather than on field.
Ben Ronke ($324,100, FWD) BE: 60
I have Ronke in the same discussion as Matt Guelfi. You could trade both of them this week if you are flush with trades, but they have done enough to keep serving as forward cover. Ronke is averaging 77.8 and I’d prefer to keep him at F7 than taking a risk on someone like Jack Billings, who has performed below expectations this year.
TRADE NOW
Bayley Fritsch ($425,100, FWD) — 76 points BE: 96
Fritsch has been one of the rookie picks of the season but the time has come to move him on. He’s capable of hitting his break-even this week, but it will cost you only about $30,000 to turn him into Toby McLean or $60,000 to go to Lance Franklin. An upgrade should be very appealing.
Tom Doedee ($394,500, DEF) BE: 98
Coming off the bye, the only reason to hold Doedee any longer is if you are struggling for fit players in defence. He’s almost certain to lose value this week and although his average of 81.8 is strong, there’s better options in defence within striking distance of his value. Think Michael Hurley or Jeremy Howe unless you plan on holding off until Jimmy Webster returns.
Riley Bonner ($324,700, DEF) — 70 points BE: 37
Bonner provided his owners with an on-field player in defence for each week of the byes, but he’s the perfect downgrade option to Joel Smith this week. His past two scores have been better, but he’s averaging only 69 and that hardly screams ‘keep me’. Cash him in and use the money to take a step closer to finishing your team.
Nick Holman ($353,900, MID) — 45 points BE: 85
Holman’s price dropped by about $20,000 at the weekend and is set to plummet again. There are very few downgrade options in the midfield, so you should be aiming to use your bank to turn him into a blue-chip onballer unless you can trade him out, shift a DPP player like Ahern to the midfield and bring in a forward.
Charlie Spargo ($238,000, FWD-MID) BE: 61
Out of the Demons’ side and has a break-even higher than his average. Unless you need his forward-midfield swing for versatility on your bench, it is time to wave goodbye to Spargo.
ON THE BUBBLE
Mason Redman ($113,200, DEF) — 73 points BE: — 94
Scratch Redman from your plans after the Bombers confirmed he will miss eigtht weeks with an ankle injury he suffered in the final five minutes against the Eagles. Bad luck if you’re one of the 12,000 coaches who went early. Jordan Ridley had 31 disposals in the VFL on Sunday and could be in line to replace him as they play a similar role.
Joel Smith ($152,500, DEF-MID) — 34 points BE: -33
Smith’s final tally against the Power would only have figured in sides where he was the 18th player in the last round of the byes. Owners will be hoping he can push closer to his opening score for the year of 91 if Simon Goodwin gives him a reprieve at the selection table.
Josh Battle ($123,900, FWD) BE: -66
Battle might be one of the beneficiaries of the Saints’ struggles after impressing up forward in the past few weeks. While Josh Bruce might take his place later in the season, his scores of 77 and 64 so far at least make him worthy of consideration.
SHOULD BE GONE
Sam Murray ($334,000, DEF)
Jeremy Finlayson ($321,600, DEF-MID) — 50 points
Ed Phillips ($226,400, MID)
Cameron Rayner ($284,200, FWD-MID) — 25 points
Lachlan Murphy ($204,800, DEF)
Nick Coffield ($252,500, DEF-MID)
POSSIBLE TRADES
Matt Guelfi to Jack Billings ($333,800)
Matt Guelfi to Jack Riewoldt ($324,100)
Bayley Fritsch to Michael Hurley ($449,400) via James Sicily
Bayley Fritsch to Toby McLean ($454,700)
Tom Doedee to Michael Hurley
Tom Doedee to Jeremy Howe ($474,300)
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