Market Watch: SuperCoach trade tips, key price moves after Round 10

It’s time to put the crosshairs on your big trade targets, and picking a left-field mid-pricer could be the way to land a Lachie Neale or Josh Kelly during the byes. Here’s how it works.

Collingwood training at Olympic Park. Chris Mayne kicks at goal . Pic: Michael Klein

The byes are around the corner, premiums are falling in price and SuperCoach players across the country are licking their lips ready to pounce on a bargain-priced Lachie Neale, Travis Boak or Clayton Oliver in a few weeks’ time.

It’s time to get the calculator out to figure out how you’re going to afford them.

Unfortunately, many of the most popular rookies haven’t exactly raked in the cash and trading in the likes of Michael Gibbons or Matty Parker won’t be enough on their own.

That means we need a longer-term plan involving trading multiple rookies over the next fortnight to build a bank for a shopping spree over the bye rounds (see our reviews of the available rookies below).

Or you could try a SuperCoach get-rich quick scheme in the form of a mid-price stepping stone.

That would involve trading in a player that you might not normally consider in SuperCoach in the hope of snagging a two or three-week cash injection — the kind of money that it might take Liam Stocker 10 rounds to make.

Take Magpie Chris Mayne for example. Fresh off a 124 against Sydney, his break even is down to -2 and he’s projected to rise about $50,000 before Collingwood’s Round 13 bye.

That is based on his season average of 80 and the profit could be a lot larger if Mayne keeps scoring the way he did on Friday night.

Who's brave enough to get Chris Mayne this week? Worst score 84 when not injured this year. Will be 340-350k #supercoach

— Tim Michell (@tim_michell) May 24, 2019

The perfect scenario is to get him in as almost a straight swap for a player like Charlie Constable, watch him shoot up in value then trade him out again for a superstar like Neale in 3-4 weeks.

Chris Mayne has a key role in the Collingwood side. Picture: Michael Klein

It’s high risk but for SuperCoach players scratching for a way to get ahead, it could pay off.

A slightly less risky option is Port Adelaide defender Matthew Broadbent ($295,500 DEF) who has returned from the wilderness with scores of 52, 80 and 99. His break even is -3 and he should get close to $400,000 in the next month, which could help you get a player like Lachie Whitfield who might be out of reach otherwise.

Then there’s Saint Jade Gresham ($361,100 FWD), who scored 114 against the Blues. Annoyingly, like Broadbent he has a bye in Round 12.

ROUND 11 BUBBLE BOYS

Robbie Young (StK) $117,300 FWD | Avg 43 | BE -16

Barely touched it against Carlton after a great debut the week before. But unless Jarryn Geary makes a miraculous recovery for the China game, he should hold his spot.

Mitch Hinge (BL) $123,900 DEF | Avg 65 | BE -55

Looked very composed scoring 73 against the Dockers and seems a safe bet in defence. Has the bye in Round 13 which isn’t ideal.

Oskar Baker (Melb) $123,900 MID | Avg 49 | BE -24

A midfield rookie is handy for players looking to cash in a Constable, Jack Ross or Will Hayes type — no use holding those guys over the byes when you need every player available. Showed some spark and surely the Dees will give him more chances.

Darcy Fort (Geel) $117,300 RUCK | Avg 78 | BE -86

Couldn’t back up his ton on debut, scoring 51 against Gold Coast. Only really an option for owners of Reilly O’Brien who can cash him in and make almost $300k.

Demons midfielder Oskar Baker at training.

Jackson Hately (GWS) $148,800 MID | Avg 90 | BE -92

He had 36 disposals in the NEAFL but the GWS midfield is almost impossible to break into so don’t get your hopes up. The same goes for long-time bubble boys Josh Rotham (BE -80), Darragh Joyce (-53) and Tom Sparrow (BE -26).

ONE GAMERS

If we’re making medium or long-term trade plans, it pays to look ahead to which rookies will be available going into Round 12 — the first bye round.

Brett Bewley (Frem) $117,300 MID. Score: 49

Already in 15,000 teams, most of them from his promising pre-season. Finally cracked a debut and while he didn’t dominate, some very important touches late will hopefully convince Ross Lyon to persist.

RAGE TRADES: WHO’S ON CHOPPING BLOCK?

THE PHANTOM: MAKE BOAK YOUR NO.1 TARGET

LATE MAIL: TOP TRADE FAILS TO FIRE

Joe Atley (Port) $123,900 MID. Score: 66

Was dropped after his first game but did his best to push for a recall with 31 disposals in the SANFL — and the seniors weren’t great.

Callum Coleman-Jones (Rich) $123,900 RUCK/FWD. Score: 60

That ruck/fwd status would be handy if he was going to get more games but that seems highly unlikely with Ivan Soldo to return from suspension this week.

ROUND 10 STARS

165 Brodie Grundy

151 Sam Reid

149 Max Gawn

148 Josh Kelly

146 Scott Pendlebury

WEEKLY TOP SCORES

2648 Eddo’s Emus, James

2631 GoddessOfRhamnous, Warren

2626 Such Is Life, Tracy

2614 johnnybegood, John

2607 Heeney In a Bottle, Ronan

OVERALL LEADERS

23,014 Ryder2Gray, Adam

22,932 DreamTeam, Adrian

22,797 BroomBoomAfridi, Rohan

22,774 Holt, Brad

22,774 The Dahl House, Sam

THIS WEEK’S WINNING TEAM

Team: Eddo’s Emus

Coach: James

Score: 2648

This week's top-scoring SuperCoach line-up.

PLAYER OF THE WEEK: BRODIE GRUNDY

Grundy monstered Callum Sinclair on his way to a season and round-high 165 SuperCoach points. He won the hitout battle 56-19 in ruck contests against Sinclair, winning the hitouts-to-advantage 14-4. Grundy also had 18 disposals, 14 contested possessions, eight tackles and seven clearances.

CHAMPION DATA MARKET WATCH

Jake Lloyd

A final term burst propelled Lloyd to 115 SuperCoach points last round against Collingwood from 92 per cent game time. He did most of the damage on the spread, with 105 of his points recorded post-clearance. Lloyd finished with 29 effective disposals, 20 uncontested possessions, two clearances and 567 metres gained.

Todd Goldstein

Goldstein led the Kangaroos to a hard-fought win over the Bulldogs with a season-high 140 SuperCoach points. He comprehensively won the ruck battle against Tim English, winning the hitouts-to-advantage 6-1 and finishing with 28 disposals, 14 contested possessions and six clearances from 90 per cent game time.

Clayton Oliver

Oliver became Matt De Boer’s latest victim, finishing with a season-low 53 SuperCoach points against GWS. He also had 17 disposals, four uncontested possessions, four clearances and seven tackles from 90 per cent game time. To make matters worse, Oliver also gave away four free kicks – his equal-most in any game in 2019.

YOUNG GUN: NOAH BALTA

Balta’s renaissance continued as he scored 83 SuperCoach points against Essendon, spiking in price by $51,700 along the way. He finished with season-highs of 18 disposals, 16 contested possessions, seven clearances and five tackles from 78 per cent game time. He was also involved in four scoring chains.