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Champion Data form guide: Why rookie Tiger Jack Ross shapes as SuperCoach gold

Jack Ross has already been traded into thousands of coaches of SuperCoach teams. Is the young Tiger worth the punt before his price surges? Champion Data’s Fantasy Freako investigates.

Marty Hore is a rookie on the rise after his standout return to the Melbourne side. Picture: AAP Image/Daniel Pockett.
Marty Hore is a rookie on the rise after his standout return to the Melbourne side. Picture: AAP Image/Daniel Pockett.

Buy low and sell high is the SuperCoach mantra we all try to abide by.

If we put this principle into practice, then we have a host of SuperCoach guns that are about to plummet in price over the next few rounds.

Atop this list is Jack Macrae with a massive break even score of 174.

He dropped below 30 disposals and 100 points in last round’s loss to Carlton — but I wouldn’t expect this too often from the prolific left-footer.

Fallen premiums

Player Price Price change Average Break even
Jack Macrae $654,300-$35,400121173
Lachie Neale $687,400 $80,100135168
Sam Menegola $463,100 -$80,00077168
Patrick Dangerfield $617,500 -$43,000 114 165
Nat Fyfe $580,500 -$37,600111164
Robbie Gray $463,900 -$61,60081152
Brodie Grundy$688,400 -$19,800122140
Jake Lloyd $615,900 $7,700121137
Lachie Whitfield $615,900 $73,800121 134
Max Gawn$639,900 -$52,200114132
Clayton Oliver $562,400 -$60,200100131
Josh Kelly $594,100 -$23,700102134

Macrae’s numbers are mixed against his upcoming opponents — scoring 98 in his most recent match against the Dockers and 163 against the Tigers.

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Lachie Neale also dropped below 30 disposals and 100 points in Round 6 as his bubble finally burst. He needs a score of 168 this round to keep his price — with a price drop a near certainty thereafter.

Neale scored just 77 points when he last faced the Suns and 110 against the Swans.

Jack Macrae will be available at a discount in coming weeks. Picture: Getty Images.
Jack Macrae will be available at a discount in coming weeks. Picture: Getty Images.

Sam Menegola also has a break even of 168 points this round, but he isn’t a player I would target at this stage. He has been squeezed out of Geelong’s midfield — attending a season-low two centre bounces in Round 5.

Instead, he has been used as a wingman — lining up in that position for 44 per cent of game time.

Nat Fyfe will be a lot more affordable after Round 6 as he boasts a break even of 164 points. He returned to the side from concussion last round — scoring 110 points in the upset win over the Giants.

Fyfe has form against the Bulldogs, racking up 151 points against them last season, but in his last match against the Crows in 2017 — he could manage only 78.

ROOKIE WATCH

Round 5 will go down as one of the most productive for cash cows this season — with a host of players enjoying season-best games — led by Jack Petruccelle’s 100-point haul on the back of five goals against Port Adelaide.

His price spiked by $38,500 as a direct result.

Elsewhere, over 105,000 SuperCoaches were rocked by the resting of Charlie Constable, but in the end it was a blessing in disguise as SuperCoaches were forced to field Michael Gibbons as cover. He enjoyed his most prolific match in Carlton colours — finishing with a season-high 104 points from 21 disposals, eight uncontested possessions and one goal. That performance also led to a $40,100 price rise.

Willem Drew was also back among the points — scoring a season-high 105 points as he enjoyed a further price hike. He reached 20 disposals for the third time this season — winning a season-high 12 contested possessions along the way.

Marty Hore is a rookie on the rise after his standout return to the Melbourne side. Picture: AAP Image/Daniel Pockett.
Marty Hore is a rookie on the rise after his standout return to the Melbourne side. Picture: AAP Image/Daniel Pockett.

In defence, Marty Hore was one of very few winners for Melbourne as he notched 96 points — a performance that led to his first price rise of $77,500.

He’s the leading interceptor at the club in the past two rounds with 16 — so his place in the side looks to be assured.

In terms of first-gamers there are four players to keep an eye on this round after Lachlan Young (42), Will Hayes (70), Jackson Hately (95) and Mitch Lewis (69) all contributed on debut.

All roads lead to Punt Rd this week as we look to this round’s bubble boys, with Liam Baker (-84 BE) and Jack Ross (-76) set for significant price rises ahead of Round 7.

The job security of Ross was handed a boost this week, with skipper Trent Cotchin suffering a setback as he makes his way back from a hamstring injury.

Ross ranks equal-first at the Tigers for centre bounce attendances since Round 4.

PLAYERS TO WATCH

Richmond v Melbourne

Sydney Stack enjoyed a price rise of $76,100 after scoring 80 points in the win over Sydney Swans from 22 disposals and seven intercepts. Clayton Oliver’s price tumbled by $22,200 despite finishing with 108 points.

Essendon v Collingwood

Dyson Heppell had 27 disposals and 106 points on Anzac Day against Collingwood last season. Adam Treloar starred for the Magpies with 34 disposals, 13 score involvements and 127 points.

Port Adelaide v North Melbourne

Tom Rockliff had dominated at Adelaide Oval this season, scoring 117 and 140 points in his two games. Ben Cunnington scored a season-low 49 points when he last played there in Round 22 last year.

Gold Coast Suns v Brisbane Lions

Touk Miller averages 93 points from eight career matches against the Lions – his most against any AFL opponent. Hugh McCluggage was solid in his two matches against the Suns last season, scoring 94 and 97 points.

St Kilda v Adelaide Crows

Jack Billings is in career-best form – averaging 30 disposals and 100 points and reaching three figures twice. Brodie Smith showcased his ball-carrying ability last week – finishing with a season-high 27 disposals, 697 metres gained and 110 points.

Lance Franklin at Swans training. Picture: Phil Hillyard
Lance Franklin at Swans training. Picture: Phil Hillyard

Sydney Swans v GWS Giants

Lance Franklin is yet to crack 100 points this season, averaging a career-low 70 points. Lachie Whitfield is averaging a career-high 121 points, dropping below 100 just once which was last round against the Dockers.

Fremantle v Western Bulldogs

Nat Fyfe returned to the side last round and led the Dockers to victory with 31 disposals, 13 clearances and 110 points. Marcus Bontempelli was the only Bulldogs to exceed 100 points against the Blues – scoring 104 points from 24 disposals.

Hawthorn v Carlton

Jaeger O’Meara returned from injury and scored a modest 76 points from 26 disposals. Sam Petrevski-Seton enjoyed a breakout game in Carlton’s win – finishing with a career-high 35 disposals and 136 points.

Geelong v West Coast

Joel Selwood was one of six Cats players to score 100 points when these sides last met in Geelong in Round 7, 2016. Brad Sheppard was one of just two Eagles to reach that benchmark with 107 points – a team-high return.

Champion Data's SuperCoach key numbers for Round 6, 2019.
Champion Data's SuperCoach key numbers for Round 6, 2019.

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