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Queensland state election 2024: Scanlon optimistic, but Gaven battle still too close to call

Gaven MP Meaghan Scanlon says she is optimistic about holding her seat but the result remains too close to call, with all eyes on the distribution of preference votes. READ THE LATEST

Moment Meaghan Scanlon arrives to after-party

The final count in Gaven will be determined by preferences, with Labor scrutineers predicting Meaghan Scanlon will maintain her lead.

But LNP campaigners on Sunday were still holding out hope that their candidate Bianca Stone could claw back ground and overtake the outgoing Housing Minister.

For Ms Stone to win she will need the bulk of One Nation preferences, while Ms Scanlon continues to be boosted by Greens votes.

In updates by the Electoral Commission of Queensland on Sunday, on the primary vote, Ms Scanlon was 844 votes ahead of Ms Stone.

On a two candidate count, Ms Scanlon was on 51.10 per cent and Ms Stone on 48.90 per cent.

The Bulletin has obtained information on preference flows which shows a super majority of Greens voters have preferenced Ms Scanlon.

Meaghan Scanlon arrives at Country Paradise Parklands in Nerang with her mum Margaret and brother Callum. Picture: Nigel Hallett.
Meaghan Scanlon arrives at Country Paradise Parklands in Nerang with her mum Margaret and brother Callum. Picture: Nigel Hallett.

Greens candidate Sally Spain at prepoll and during Saturday’s election told voters to preference the sitting MP.

Data provided to the Bulletin shows on one booth, the preferences from One Nation are split. On another, the majority favour the LNP.

Most of the votes from the Legalise Cannabis Party – they are polling at 3.85 per cent – appear to be going to Ms Scanlon.

The Electoral Commission of Queensland early indicative figures on preferences show 837 of Ms Spain’s preference going to Ms Scanlon, with 176 to Ms Stone.

Just less than 1500 One Nation votes are going to the LNP with almost 400 to Labor.

While remaining optimistic, Ms Scanlon said it was too early to call the seat.

She said the One Nation vote was “propping up” the LNP vote after Pauline Hanson’s party decided to preference the Liberals.

Bianca Stone with supporters at the Hinterland Hotel in Nerang. Picture: Nigel Hallett.
Bianca Stone with supporters at the Hinterland Hotel in Nerang. Picture: Nigel Hallett.

“We’re feeling fairly good about where we are tracking but it is a bit close (to call), Ms Scanlon said.

She said that much like the result in 2020 Labor was winning all booths apart from Carrara.

“This time around One Nation is preferencing the LNP. That’s what we are getting down to at the moment, is all those preferences and where they are flowing,” she said.

“What we’ve seen is a large number of people at prepoll. One Nation was there every day at prepoll.”

In 2020, Ms Scanlon secured 47.47 per cent of the primary vote with the LNP’s Kirsten Jackson on 33.11 per cent. After the final distributions of preferences, Labor was on 57.75 per cent and the LNP on 42.25 per cent.

Meaghan Scanlon supporter celebrate as details of the vote become clear. Picture: Nigel Hallett
Meaghan Scanlon supporter celebrate as details of the vote become clear. Picture: Nigel Hallett

Ms Stone late on Saturday night said she was nowhere near ready to concede the seat described by LNP leader David Crisafulli as “pivotal”.

“It’s early days and it is good to see the results come through, the result of a lot of hard work,” she said.

“It’s been a gruelling campaign so far and there is a lot of the count to go.

“I think (the count) might go into next week in fact, I’m concerned about that.

“I always said it was going to be a close seat, it could come down to a few hundred votes given the number of pre-poll and postal votes.”

8AM UPDATE: SCANLON AHEAD BY MORE THAN 800 VOTES

Gaven MP Meaghan Scanlon leads her LNP rival Bianca Stone by more than 800 votes, after a rollercoaster evening of emotions for Labor supporters.

More than 80 Labor volunteers, many of them exhausted from working the booths, watched on a big screen at Ms Scanlon’s after-party at the Country Paradise Parklands on Saturday night.

There were bursts of applause as results showed ALP MPs who survived as the LNP worked up a majority to gain government.

Many were in tears as the first results flashed up showing Ms Scanlon remained ahead of Ms Stone.

Meaghan Scanlon with her mum Margaret and brother Callum at her election after-party at the Country Paradise Parklands on Saturday night. Picture: Nigel Hallett.
Meaghan Scanlon with her mum Margaret and brother Callum at her election after-party at the Country Paradise Parklands on Saturday night. Picture: Nigel Hallett.

The Housing Minister arrived about 10pm, with her mother Margaret and brother Callum beside her, to a rock star welcome as the function exploded with applause.

“As you can see we are still closely counting all the votes. There are still a lot of votes to count this evening, there is a lot of people going to pre-poll. I feel really optimistic, I just want to say a massive thank you to all of you,” she said.

In an update by the Electoral Commission of Queensland on Sunday just before 8am, on the primary vote, Ms Scanlon was 837 votes ahead of Ms Stone.

On a two candidate count, Ms Scanlon was on 51.10 per cent and Ms Stone on 48.9 per cent. The final figures will be determined by a preference count.

LNP candidate for Gaven Bianca Stone watches results roll in with supporters including Federal member for Moncrieff Angie Bell at the Hinterland Hotel in Nerang on Saturday night. Picture: Nigel Hallett.
LNP candidate for Gaven Bianca Stone watches results roll in with supporters including Federal member for Moncrieff Angie Bell at the Hinterland Hotel in Nerang on Saturday night. Picture: Nigel Hallett.

10.15PM SATURDAY: THUNDEROUS APPLAUSE FOR SCANLON

Gaven MP and Housing Minister Meaghan Scanlon has arrived to thunderous applause at a poll after-party calling on supporters to “celebrate”.

While not claiming victory, Ms Scanlon made it clear their campaign had stopped a “wave of blue” across the Gold Coast electorates.

Ms Scanlon was cheered by more than 80 supporters at a function room at Country Paradise Parklands, many of them booth workers, just after 10pm.

She has secured 42.7 per cent of the vote compared to 37.57 per cent for her rival, the LNP’s candidate Bianca Stone.

Meaghan Scanlon arrives at Country Paradise Parklands in Nerang with her mum Margaret and brother Callum. Picture: Nigel Hallett.
Meaghan Scanlon arrives at Country Paradise Parklands in Nerang with her mum Margaret and brother Callum. Picture: Nigel Hallett.

Ms Scanlon is on a margin of 7.8 per cent. She has remained in front of Ms Stone throughout the count in what was expected to be one of the hardest fought battles on the Gold Coast.

She told her supporters: “A massive thank you to everyone for all of your efforts. There are still a lot of votes to count this evening.

“I feel very optimistic. You guys have just been incredible. The Labor army is a force to be reckoned with.

“You all know we stood here back in 2017, I was 24 at the time everyone said that we couldn’t do it, and we did do it, and that was because of the work of grassroots Labor members like yourselves.

LNP candidate for Gaven Bianca Stone at the Hinterland Hotel in Nerang with supporters on Saturday night. Picture: Nigel Hallett.
LNP candidate for Gaven Bianca Stone at the Hinterland Hotel in Nerang with supporters on Saturday night. Picture: Nigel Hallett.

“The LNP did everything they could to try and take this seat from us. They continue to try and make the Gold Coast a sea of blue.

“We had almost every single Gold Coast LNP member of Parliament at the prepoll and voting booth today. They deserted their own communities to take away the one Labor seat that’s down here.

“I will always stand up every day to make sure that people in Nerang, the community I grew up in and this entire electorate have a voice that’s from this community.

“Let’s celebrate, we have such a great grassroots movement. We stood up for the things that matter. We should be really proud of that. That’s what Labor governments do.”

9.15PM: EMOTIONAL VORSTER CLAIMS EASY WIN

Incoming Burleigh MP Hermann Vorster has thanked voters and supporters as he warned the overall result of the election was unlikely to be known on Saturday night.

The former city councillor, 39, easily won the southern Gold Coast seat which was held by the retiring Michael Hart.

Speaking at the Palm Beach Sports Club, the successful LNP candidate said the overall results of the election was too close to call. Sky News is reporting a “definite chance” of an LNP majority government still.

Meanwhile in Burleigh, an, at times emotional Mr Vorster said his team had not just built a community, it had built “a family”.

“Family looks out for one another and we will take care of the southern Gold Coast,” he said.

“None of this happens by accident, it is a labor of love and the people in this is room poured everything into these two seats.

Herman Vorster wore out his shoes to win Burleigh Heads. Picture: Richard Gosling
Herman Vorster wore out his shoes to win Burleigh Heads. Picture: Richard Gosling

“We don’t know what will happen in the state or Queensland but this I can guarantee you - the people of the southern Gold Coast will have representatives who will care for them.”

Mr Vorster celebrated with friends and family to the strains of Queen’s We Are the Champions.

Watching on were former councillors colleagues Daphne McDonald and Gail O’Neill.

Also celebrating in the city’s south was Currumbin MP Laura Gerber who significantly increased her margin.

Ms Gerber said she was delighted by the result.

“I’m relieved, I’m exhausted and I want to go to bed,” she said.

“I am ultimately so humbled that my community has returned me.

“I think it will be really close (the state result).”

Gold Coast's new Burleigh MP Hermann Vorster celebrates with the LNP faithful alongside returned Currumbin LNP MP Laura Gerber.
Gold Coast's new Burleigh MP Hermann Vorster celebrates with the LNP faithful alongside returned Currumbin LNP MP Laura Gerber.

9PM: ‘ABORTION COST US VOTES’

Surfers Paradise MP John-Paul Langbroek has reclaimed his safe seat for the eighth successive election but given a frank assessment of the LNP campaign and what “cost us votes”.

Asked if letting the question of abortion laws being changed linger had impacted the LNP, he said on Sky News it had “cost us votes”.

“I’m not sure whether it cost us seats but I have no doubt it cost us votes. I mean there is no doubt about the fact it took a while to get a definite answer about the issue when to my mind just mentioning the word abortion in the parliament doesn’t necessarily mean it always has to be a conscience vote.”

Asked if his leader David Crisafulli could have been more definitive, Mr Langbroek said: “He’ll be the first to acknowledge given in your final Sky was when he came out with a definitive answer, I think early on there was a sense we didn't think this would be an issue that was resonating and through relentless Labor campaigning and social media, I think it obviously did,” he said from his victory party in Broadbeach.

Queensland LNP Member for Surfers Paradise John-Paul Langbroek.
Queensland LNP Member for Surfers Paradise John-Paul Langbroek.

8.15PM: SCANLON AHEAD IN GAVEN, STONE REFUSES TO SINK

Labor Housing Minister Meaghan Scanlon has taken a strong early lead in the critical Gold Coast seat of Gaven - but her LNP rival Bianca Stone is tipping a long count and fight.

Former TV journalist turned LNP candidate Ms Stone said the result in the Gold Coast seat would not be known until next week, saying the result was too close to call.

She is attempting to unseat Ms Scanlon in a seat she has held since 2017.

Ms Scanlon remained ahead just before 8pm but Ms Stone said she was nowhere near ready to concede the seat described by LNP leader David Crisafulli as “pivotal”.

“It’s early days and it is good to see the results come through, the result of a lot of hard work,” she said.

“It’s been a gruelling campaign so far and a lot of the count to go.

“I think (the count) might go into next week in fact, I’m concerned about that.

“I always said it was going to be a close seat, it could come down to a few hundred votes given the number of pre-poll and postal votes.”

Former Labor Premier Anna Palaszczuk told Sky New just on 8.30pm she was hearing Ms Scanlon was ahead in most booths, but “they are waiting on the pre-poll”.

LNP Opposition leader David Crisafulli began election day 2024 at Nerang's Bischoff Park with Gaven candidate Bianca Stone - she is behind in the early vote but not conceding. Picture: Supplied by LNP
LNP Opposition leader David Crisafulli began election day 2024 at Nerang's Bischoff Park with Gaven candidate Bianca Stone - she is behind in the early vote but not conceding. Picture: Supplied by LNP

Labor supporters on the night are confident Ms Scanlon will retain her Gold Coast seat, despite the ALP losing other key regional seats.

By 8pm with more than 10,000 votes counted, Ms Scanlon had received 42.12 per cent of the vote in Gaven.

Ms Stone had secured 38.8 per cent of the vote.

More than 80 supporters at Ms Scanlon’s post-election party at Nerang remained confident.

“She is staying ahead, that is what we want,” a booth worker said.

Ms Scanlon’s primary vote in 2020 was 47.47 per cent, giving her a 7.8 per cent margin. Her vote was boosted then due to Labor’s handling of Covid.

The Greens vote has remained stable. Sally Spain has 5.09 per cent compared to 5.52 per cent in 2020.

One Nation recorded 8.2 per cent four years ago. Their vote was tracking at 8.27 per cent.

The Legalise Cannabis Party has 4.39 per cent of the vote. Labor insiders predict preferences from that vote will flow to the ALP.

8PM: FIRST SEATS CLAIMED

The first Gold Coast seats have been claimed by the LNP.

Surfers Paradise has been won - as expected - by LNP incumbent and veteran John-Paul Langbroek. Meanwhile, Burleigh has a new representative, first-term state MP Hermann Vorster, a former Gold Coast city councillor. He also looks on track to well extend the former margin of retiring LNP MP Michael Hart.

LNP Member for Currumbin and Youth Justice spokeswoman Laura Gerber is also celebrating retaining her seat: “We have worked so hard, my team and I have not stopped these last four years to advocate for our community in relation to Labor’s crime crisis, housing crisis, cost of living crisis and of course the cost of living crisis,” she told ABC news.

“I’m so grateful that I’ve been returned because I love my job and I love representing the people of Currumbin.”

Laura Gerber at Currumbin State School on Saturday - by early evening she was celebrating retaining her seat. Picture: Richard Gosling
Laura Gerber at Currumbin State School on Saturday - by early evening she was celebrating retaining her seat. Picture: Richard Gosling

Just on 8pm, Ms Scanlon in Gaven had secured 43.83 per cent of the vote.

The LNP’s candidate Bianca Stone had 34.25 per cent of the vote, with more than 6000 votes counted.

Ms Scanlon, who recorded a 47.4 per cent primary vote in 2020, was polling strongly ahead of main rival Ms Stone in some booths, party insiders say.

At a smaller Nerang booth, Ms Scanlon has recorded 179 votes which compares to 100 votes for Ms Stone, an ALP source said.

The two-term Labor MP is facing off against Ms Stone, a former television reporter turned LNP candidate, in a seat which Opposition Leader David Crisafulli described on Saturday morning as “pivotal” to his ambitions to lead the state.

Gaven MP Meaghan Scanlon on election day - and feeling “positive”. Picture: Nigel Hallett
Gaven MP Meaghan Scanlon on election day - and feeling “positive”. Picture: Nigel Hallett

Ms Scanlon, who held Gaven with a 7.8 per cent margin before the election, is the city’s sole Labor MP and has long been regarded as a future leader for the party.

Ms Scanlon, speaking before polls closed, said she had received strong support from voters.

“It’s been really positive today. We done a lot of work in Pacific Pines with our local schools, delivering the On Demand transport service, it’s been great to see so many people I recognise,” she said.

Labor directed virtually all of its Gold Coast campaign resources at sandbagging the seat in an attempt to save it.

Premier Steven Miles and Prime Minister Anthony Albanese both visited the seat to campaign with her during the campaign, while Mr Crisafulli made several stops in Gaven, including beginning Saturday there, where he cooked the LNP volunteers breakfast

Speaking at William Duncan Primary School, Mr Crisafulli talked up the seat’s importance to the LNP.

“Swings are never uniform and I look at an area like Gaven and I see a whole lot of aspirational people who deserve better,” he said.

Meanwhile early voters across the city strongly backed the incumbent LNP MPs, with the conservatives already controlling 10 of the 11 seats.

Mr Crisafulli is ahead in his own seat of Broadwater, which takes in the well-heeled areas of Paradise Point, Hope Island and the Sovereign Islands.

Burleigh candidate Hermann Vorster. Picture: Nigel Hallett
Burleigh candidate Hermann Vorster. Picture: Nigel Hallett

Scrutineers early in the count said Mr Vorster, a former long-term city councillor, was on track to become the next MP in a seat where he has promised more police and a dedicated police beat to combat anti-social behaviour.

At one booth at Varsity Lakes, he had received a swing of more than 11 per cent.

By 7pm Mr Vorster had just more than 45 per cent of the vote, after over 2000 votes were counted.

Herman Vorster with worn out shoes and his volunteers at Burleigh Heads on election day. Picture: Richard Gosling
Herman Vorster with worn out shoes and his volunteers at Burleigh Heads on election day. Picture: Richard Gosling

This compares to retiring sitting member Michael Hart’s primary vote of 39 per cent in 2020.

First-termer Laura Gerber was claiming Queensland’s southernmost seat, the ultra-marginal Currumbin, by 7.30pm with nearly 44 per cent of the vote, ahead of nearest rival Nathan Fleur, of Labor, on 26.19 per cent after more than 9000 votes were counted.

Further north, long-term incumbent Ros Bates in Mudgeeraba, Mark Boothman in Theodore and Sam O’Connor in Bonney were all ahead in their safe seats.

Though early counting shows LNP in Theodore, the neighbouring seat to Gaven, has slightly dropped. Mr Boothman, after almost 1000 votes were counted just before 7pm, had just more than 40 per cent of the vote. This compares to about 44 per cent in the 2020 poll.

No numbers have yet been lodged in Mermaid Beach held by long-time MP and former Gold Coast mayor Ray Stevens or Coomera, held by Michael Crandon

Southport’s MP Rob Molhoek is ahead, though early numbers show a strong showing from Labor candidate Letitia Del Fabbro.

6PM: POLLS CLOSE

Polls have now closed across Queensland and counting has begun.

Expect the first results to begin flowing it by 7pm.

4.15PM: CAMPAIGN WORKERS PACK UP

Campaign workers have begun packing up at Gold Coast booths including the pivotal seat of Gaven.

One Nation volunteers have taken down their tarps at the Pacific Pine booth in Gaven.

Voters continued to arrive in the past hour, but were few in numbers.

Housing Minister Meaghan Scanlon left her Nerang booth to attend the much larger Pacific Pines booth.

Councillor Brooke Patterson was handing out for the LNP’s Bianca Stone.

2.30PM: WHAT PALM BEACH VOTERS CARE ABOUT

Youth crime, development and cost-of-living are the main issues seemingly influencing Palm Beach voters.

A local voter at the Palm Beach Currumbin school booth claimed the night before on election eve to have witnessed a shocking act of vandalism on a bus stop outside her home.

The teacher of 45 years said she was disgusted by the damage she came across early this morning.

“It was too scary to come out and confront them,” she said.

“There was blood everywhere this morning. They smashed all the glass. I even heard one of them say, ‘you need stitches, you’re bleeding’ at one point.”

The Palm Beach resident of 34 years said her vote was based on wanting more action in fighting youth crime - voting LNP because she thinks they’ll “do a better job”.

“I’ve been a teacher for 45 years. I’ve seen the change in students and I’m glad I’m not in that game anymore,” she said.

“I do think parents need to be stung somewhere as well. We had incredible discipline growing up - we knew how to be dignified.”

Palm Beach couple Chris and Greg Johnston voted youth crime, development and cost-of-living as their main properties on election day.

When asked about the light rail stage 4 extension the former Sydney-siders said they were in two minds.

“We’re really close to where it will go,” Greg said.

“It’s good for development but not for traffic and not the environment.”

A former teacher and long-term resident said she was against the light rail in Palm Beach, suggesting buses a preferable option.

“I’m a lover of buses - if they put the money into electric buses, a lane for that and enough staff that will be very flexible,” she said.

The ex-teacher said the light rail was “inflexible” and difficult for seniors due to its limited stops.

“At the moment there’s 18 bus stops between Broadbeach and Burleigh and there’s going to be only eight tram stops,” she said.

“Where do the tram-goers park? How far have they got to walk to get the tram? The infrastructure for the light rail is ugly and I feel as if they are doing it for another purpose.”

The resident said it will detract from the beauty of old Palm Beach, with too much change in the area “not for the good”.

Voters agreed all candidates need to be more transparent - with questions being asked to both major parties going “unanswered”.

2.15PM: VOTER NUMBERS DOWN

Voter numbers this election day are down compared to previous years, according to volunteers, with many polling-booths boasting more volunteers than voters.

Volunteers across the Burleigh electorate said Saturday voting numbers were down by roughly 40 per cent from previous years - with many constituents casting their votes early.

“Monday pre-poll was very busy,” one volunteer at Palm Beach State School said.

“I’ve been working this booth in previous elections and compared to last time I was here numbers are down at least 40 per cent.”

Voters said they were shocked to see how “flat” polling booths were on voting day Saturday.

“You used to dress up to vote,” Chris Johnston said.

“Now you can pop over from the beach and be in and out.”

A relatively empty booth at Palm Beach State School. Picture: Richard Gosling
A relatively empty booth at Palm Beach State School. Picture: Richard Gosling

Another volunteer cited pre-polling as a new “trend” moving forward.

“It’s a matter of convenience and lifestyle changes,” they said.

“I travel for work and voting in the pre-polls is just easier. I think this is the trend going forward.”

The “trend” tracks with two thirds of Burleigh having voted in pre-polling.

2PM: A BIT OF A THRILL

First time voter Ethan Callaghan said his putting pencil to paper this state election was “a bit of a thrill”.

The 18-year-old Palm Beach local said he made his decision based on who “put the most effort” into their campaign.

“I think my vote could make a change and help someone out so hopefully it goes good,” he said.

The young LNP voter said the housing market was high on his agenda this election.

“I’m looking to buy a house and (LNP Burleigh candidate) Hermann Vorster said he could help me - so I voted for him,” he said.

Palm Beach voter Ethan Callaghan putting pen to paper for the Queensland state election. “I’m looking to buy a house and (LNP Burleigh candidate) Hermann Vorster said he could help me - so I voted for him.” Picture: Ashleigh Jansen
Palm Beach voter Ethan Callaghan putting pen to paper for the Queensland state election. “I’m looking to buy a house and (LNP Burleigh candidate) Hermann Vorster said he could help me - so I voted for him.” Picture: Ashleigh Jansen

1.45PM: LNP CONFIDENT ON GAVEN

Fadden MP Cameron Caldwell says he is confident about the LNP gaining ground in the closely-contested northern Gold Coast seat of Gaven.

Labor’s Meaghan Scanlon, the Housing Minister, holds the seat with a 7.8 per cent margin.

Mr Caldwell was handing out how-to-vote cards with his wife Lauren at the Pacific Pines State School booth throughout the morning, the pair standing about 30 metres away from the Minister.

“I worked this booth in 2020 and there has been a significant shift I can detect as people are coming in,” he said.

“It’s going to be a very close race. I think there’s probably being going to be a requirement to see where the preferences end up.

“There’s definitely been a shift I can detect. People I think are ready for a change. There are a lot of people who are not taking how to vote cards.

“They’ve already I think made up their minds. A lot of the white noise of the campaign doesn’t necessarily cut through.

“In these parts of the Gold Coast, crime and cost of living are still far outstripping anything else as concerns for the community.”

Fadden MP Cameron Caldwell (right) and his wife Lauren hand out how-to-vote cards for the party's candidate Bianca Stone in Gaven on election day. Picture: Paul Weston.
Fadden MP Cameron Caldwell (right) and his wife Lauren hand out how-to-vote cards for the party's candidate Bianca Stone in Gaven on election day. Picture: Paul Weston.

1PM: SAM O’CONNOR HEADS TO GAVEN

Bonney MP Sam O’Connor says he is focused on winning his Gold Coast seat not a possible ministry in a Crisafulli Government - as he raced to help in the Battle for Gaven.

While he was based this morning at Labrador and at Arundel in his electorate, in the afternoon he had moved to Pacific Pines to help LNP candidate Bianca Stone fight for the seat of Gaven.

The LNP needs to win Gaven, which Labor’s Meaghan Scanlon holds with a 7.8 per cent margin, to gain the government benches.

He believes many people voted early “because they knew what they were doing”.

Asked about why he was headed to Gaven, he said: “It’s a very important area for us, that goes without saying. Pacific Pines is the closest boundary to mine.”

Bonney LNP MP Sam O'Connor buying a "democracy" sausage at the Labrador State School polling booth. Volunteer and community worker Jenna Schroeder is serving him. He moved to Pacific Pines to help in Gaven after. Picture: Paul Weston.
Bonney LNP MP Sam O'Connor buying a "democracy" sausage at the Labrador State School polling booth. Volunteer and community worker Jenna Schroeder is serving him. He moved to Pacific Pines to help in Gaven after. Picture: Paul Weston.

Mr O’Connor talked down the possibility he could become an Environment Minister in an LNP Government. He is the shadow spokesperson.

“I’m just focused on winning my seat again. My first election took over a week to get a clear result, and I never take it for granted. We need to make sure we are hustling for every vote.

“Gaven is going to be really important if we achieve government, it’s going to be close out there, we are going to be fighting for every vote.”

Bonney MP Sam O'Connor voting at the Labrador State School polling booth on election day. Picture: Paul Weston.
Bonney MP Sam O'Connor voting at the Labrador State School polling booth on election day. Picture: Paul Weston.

12.30PM: WORRIES OVER SOCIAL MEDIA CAMPAIGN

LNP strategists say they are worried about the impact of Labor’s social media campaign on younger voters, with reports of a surge of support to the incumbent government.

Labor has ramped up its social media marketing in recent years, bombarding X (formerly Twitter), Instagram and TikTok in the past week, with much of their focus on the LNP’s stance on abortion and whether it would be recriminalised.

Labor advertising which is being put out on social media on election day. Picture: ALP
Labor advertising which is being put out on social media on election day. Picture: ALP

One young voter told the Bulletin that Labor’s aggressive social media strategy had been paying dividends.

“As a first-time voter, a lot of my friends are going towards Labor and that’s because of their social media

“The Liberals are being eaten alive online, especially with the stuff about abortion coming out.

“That’s definitely been the biggest thing about why they are going to vote Labor

“It can’t scroll on any kind social media without getting a Labor ad every few posts and the Liberals just haven’t had that, so a lot of people my age are going with Labor.”

11.30AM: VORSTER WEARS OUT THE SHOE LEATHER

Herman Vorster with worn out shoes and his volunteers at Burleigh Heads on election day. Picture: Richard Gosling
Herman Vorster with worn out shoes and his volunteers at Burleigh Heads on election day. Picture: Richard Gosling

The boots were off for Burleigh LNP candidate Herman Vorster as he held up his worn RM Williams at the Share and Care community centre polling booth in Palm Beach.

“A lot of politicians talk about wearing out their shoe leather and I was determined to do just that,” he said.

On his third pair in the last 52 weeks the former councillor turned state candidate said he was happy to hit the ground running during the vigorous campaign.

“This is my third pair I’ve worn out. I love them and I can’t wait to get them resoled because hopefully I’m in a position to walk into parliament with them.”

Rocking his bright avocado toast socks, the candidate said he was “emotional” coming into election day.

“This campaign started 52 works ago and just started out with myself,” he said.

“Since then we’ve built a small army of community members who are really invested in a change of government. This moment I feel an awesome sense of responsibility to make sure we get that over the line – our volunteers and our community are counting on it.”

Laura Gerber at Currumbin State School. Picture by Richard Gosling
Laura Gerber at Currumbin State School. Picture by Richard Gosling

“Our volunteers we’ve accumulated are people who have had struggled with the government, people who have had bad experiences with Queensland Health who want to be part of changing it, people who have been homeless and sleeping in their cars and wanting to make sure the same fate doesn’t befall anyone else. That has been different for me because I’ve never had that and it gives you a sense of awesome responsibility to make sure their efforts end up with the right result.”

Volunteer Rita Fellows said the campaign period had been the “happiest in her entire life” using TikTok, dancing and social media prowess to help push Vorsters campaign to younger voters.

“I cannot express the feeling (social media as a campaign platform) the feeling is beyond words. I’m the dancer on the road side who has made TikTok with a Gold Coast influencer and it has worked – people are coming out saying we’re voting for you because it (social media) does work,” she said.

Neighbouring LNP candidate and MP Laura Gerber cast her vote in high spirits at Currumbin State School.

Having donated towards the school’s PNC to throw a sausage sizzle for voters, the words on lips on election morning were “democracy sausage”.

Both Gerber and Vorster said the iconic BBQ on Election Day was an Australian institution.

Mr Vorster added: “If we can lean into it and if it can encourage more people to come out and vote I think that’s a great thing.

No Labor candidates were at either polling booth the bulletin visited.

10AM: VOTERS HEAD TO POLLING BOOTHS

Voters have poured into polling booths across the city, though political insides are reporting wildly different experiences in different locations.

At the Palm Beach Currumbin High School booth there was chaotic scenes with marketgoers clashing with voters.

Meanwhile, one minor party candidate set up at the wrong entrance to the school and was forced to relocate.

Further north, some of the city’s polling booths are reportedly far more quiet than previous election days.

Insiders suggest it is the result of increasing pre-poll voting.

9.10AM: FIERY CLASH WITH VOTER

The man tipped to be the next Premier David Crisafulli and his LNP candidate in the

pivotal seat of Gaven have had a fiery election morning clash – with one of their own voters.

The pair, on the tools cooking up a BBQ at the William Duncan Primary School booth, got a

grilling themselves from voter Vicki Campbell – who later admitted she was all for the Liberals.

Full story and video

8.45AM: GAVEN ‘PIVOTAL’

QLDVOTES24 David Crisafulli talks about Gaven electorate

David Crisafulli says the Gold Coast seat of Gaven is “pivotal” to the LNP winning government.

Speaking on the Gold Coast before leaving to travel to Brisbane to vote, Mr Crisafulli said

“Swings are never uniform and I look at an area like gave and I see a whole lot of aspirational people who deserve better,” he said

8AM POLLS ARE OPEN

QLDVOTES24: First voters in Gaven

Polls are officially open on election day 2024. LNP Opposition Leader David Crisafulli was in Gaven meeting with candidate Bianca Stone hoping to win over undecided voters in the must-win seat.

A streaming of people moved through the booth quickly, with most not taking how-to-vote cards from candidates and volunteers.

Mr Crisafulli told voters: “Vote for a fresh start, Queensland needs change.”

7AM: THE CALM BEFORE THE STORM

Labor and the LNP have sent final clear messages at the booths at voters as they start to vote at 8am in the State poll.

The ALP’s signage is directed at Opposition leader David Crisafulli warning voters to “cut Crisafulli before he cuts you”.

Gold Coast State poll 2024. Signage at the front of the Pacific Pines booth in Gaven. Pic: Paul Weston.
Gold Coast State poll 2024. Signage at the front of the Pacific Pines booth in Gaven. Pic: Paul Weston.

Their argument is the LNP in Opposition will repeat the Campbell Newman era and remove health workers, cut hospitals and jobs for unfunded promises.

The LNP, by comparison is promoting their candidates, like Bianca Stone in Gaven, saying they will be “tough on crime”, employ more police and will “axe Labor’s patients’ tax”.

At Pacific Pines, in the major booth where Housing Minister Meaghan Scanlon will fight to save her seat on a 7.8 per cent margin, LNP booth workers arrived at 4.30am.

What is different about this State poll will be the restrictions on signage.

Booth workers say they are limited to about half a dozen signs.

“You have to be careful with the (political) real estate,” a booth worker said.

Gold Coast State poll 2024. Signage from both political parties fronting the Pacific Pines booth in Gaven. Pic: Paul Weston.
Gold Coast State poll 2024. Signage from both political parties fronting the Pacific Pines booth in Gaven. Pic: Paul Weston.

Further south at Burleigh, LNP candidate Hermann Vorster and his volunteers arrived before Labor.

They had chosen the pick of the spots to put up signage.

An LNP insider said: “Hermann’s campaign has been boosted by community workers, involving themselves in politics for the first time, injecting a significant grassroots energy.”

Meanwhile, both Labor and LNP volunteers were out early at Southport Community Centre with plenty of signage from both camps.

Mr Crisafulli began the day in the knife-edge seat of Gaven where he cooked a barbecue with LNP volunteers and the party’s candidate for the seat, Bianca Stone, at Nerang’s Bischoff Park.

LNP Opposition leader David Crisafulli began election day 2024 at Nerang's Bischoff Park with Gaven candidate Bianca Stone. Picture: Supplied by LNP
LNP Opposition leader David Crisafulli began election day 2024 at Nerang's Bischoff Park with Gaven candidate Bianca Stone. Picture: Supplied by LNP

THE SURPRISE KEY CANDIDATE

Meet the candidate who could determine the outcome of the Gold Coast election.

Greens leader Sally Spain has been alone for the past two weeks at prepoll at Pacific Pines where she has told each voter arriving that she would be “preferencing Meaghan Scanlon”.

Gaven is held by Ms Scanlon, Labor’s Housing Minister on a 7.8 per cent margin. It’s considered one of Queensland’s most important seats.

Opposition leader David Crisafulli needs to win it, to ensure it secure Government. Labor needs to hold, to have any chance of surviving. The swing against Labor could be eight per cent.

Gold Coast election candidate Sally Spain. Picture: Jerad Williams.
Gold Coast election candidate Sally Spain. Picture: Jerad Williams.

Ms Spain is standing because she wants the environment to get as high priority as crime.

Gold Coast Greens leader Sally Spain on the State 2024 and fight to win Gaven.

“The environment should play an important role, and that’s what we’re saying,” she says.

She estimates “1.2 million hectares in Queensland were broadscale cleared and 45 million species were lost” during the Campbell Newman LNP Government.

“These are figures impossible to comprehend,” she said.

Ms Spain understands the focus on juvenile crime “but this should not be a one issue election”.

Housing Minister and Gaven MP Meaghan Scanlon (left) and Gaven LNP candidate Bianca Stone (right) are fighting out the toughest political battle in Gold Coast seats during the 2024 State poll.
Housing Minister and Gaven MP Meaghan Scanlon (left) and Gaven LNP candidate Bianca Stone (right) are fighting out the toughest political battle in Gold Coast seats during the 2024 State poll.

“One issue should not govern the whole state. The State has many issues. Some people will regret they didn’t look further into wider policies,” she said.

“Meaghan Scanlon is an excellent local candidate. We’ve had some wins in general Queensland politics to the Left in terms of animal rights, in terms of environmental heritage and transparency on election campaigns and who donates to it.

“The LNP seems fixed on one issue. One issue does not make an election make.”

For a full list of candidates, see the Bulletin’s special guide.

paul.weston@news.com.au

Originally published as Queensland state election 2024: Scanlon optimistic, but Gaven battle still too close to call

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Original URL: https://www.heraldsun.com.au/news/gold-coast/queensland-state-election-2024-everything-you-need-to-know-about-october-26-polling-day/news-story/30baf16a9e48ba431fd5acdd6bfb619f