What your home will be worth in five years
House prices in some suburbs are set to double over the next five years while others will plummet. Find out where you rank.
National
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House prices in some Aussie suburbs could double over the next five years while other previously hot areas could see values slashed by hundreds of thousands of dollars if prices rise at the same pace as the past five years, new data suggests.
Exclusive PropTrack modelling conducted for News Corp shows what dwelling prices will be in 2028 if market trends from the last decade are repeated.
PropTrack economist Paul Ryan told The Daily Telegraph that while the modelling was not an exact forecast since past performance was not a definitive indicator of future price rises, many of the forces that drove prices over the past decade remain in place.
“We are clearly not building enough housing to meet demand and market conditions are making it difficult for developers to get the rate of new building up,” he said.
It comes after national home prices continued to stabilise in April, rising for the fourth consecutive month to bring the cumulative increase in 2023 to 0.75 per cent.
Strong migration, tight rental markets and limited supply are offsetting the impact of rapid interest rate rises, PropTrack’s April Home Price Index noted.
The Reserve Bank resumed its aggressive rate hikes with another 25 basis point rise at its May meeting to bring the cash rate to 3.85 per cent, having paused in April following 10 consecutive increases.
Here is your brief guide to house prices over the next five years by state, including the top and bottom five suburbs in each.
SYDNEY
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TOP FIVE
• Copacabana
Postcode: 2251
Area: Central Coast
Current median: $1,900,000
Five-year change: 113 per cent
Median in 2028: $4,056,000
• MacMasters Beach
Postcode: 2251
Area: Central Coast
Current median: $2,300,000
Five-year change: 112 per cent
Median in 2028: $4,870,000
• North Avoca
Postcode: 2260
Area: Central Coast
Current median: $1,800,000
Five-year change: 91 per cent
Median in 2028: $3,436,000
• Hunters Hill
Postcode: 2110
Area: Ryde
Current median: $3,753,000
Five-year change: 82 per cent
Median in 2028: $6,817,000
• Palm Beach
Postcode: 2108
Area: Northern Beaches
Current median: $4,575,000
Five-year change: 81 per cent
Median in 2028: $8,289,000
BOTTOM FIVE
• Rouse Hill
Postcode: 2155
Area: Greater Sydney
Current median: $745,000
Five-year change: –26 per cent
Median in 2028: $552,000
• Sydney
Postcode: 2000
Area: Greater Sydney
Current median: $1,120,000
Five-year change: –25 per cent
Median in 2028: $839,000
• Beverley Park
Postcode: 2217
Area: Greater Sydney
Current median: $1,060,000
Five-year change: –23 per cent
Median in 2028: $811,000
• Macquarie Park
Postcode: 2113
Area: Greater Sydney
Current median: $853,000
Five-year change: –19 per cent
Median in 2028: $694,000
• Eastgardens
Postcode: 2036
Area: Greater Sydney
Current median: $940,000
Five-year change: –18 per cent
Median in 2028: $773,000
MELBOURNE
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TOP FIVE
• Somers
Postcode: 3927
Area: Mornington Peninsula
Current median: $1,628,000
Five-year change: 87 per cent
Median in 2028: $3,045,000
• Blairgowrie
Postcode: 3942
Area: Mornington Peninsula
Current median: $1,700,000
Five-year change: 79 per cent
Median in 2028: $3,042,000
• Balnarring
Postcode: 3926
Area: Mornington Peninsula
Current median: $1,450,000
Five-year change: 73 per cent
Median in 2028: $2,515,000
• Bunyip
Postcode: 3815
Area: Melbourne South East
Current median: $801,000
Five-year change: 70 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,366,000
• Warburton
Postcode: 3799
Area: Melbourne Outer East
Current median: $733,000
Five-year change: 67 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,225,000
BOTTOM FIVE
• Toorak
Postcode: 3142
Area: Greater Melbourne
Current median: $1,830,000
Five-year change: –24 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,395,000
• Princes Hill
Postcode: 3054
Area: Greater Melbourne
Current median: $1,240,000
Five-year change: –22 per cent
Median in 2028: $969,000
• Kingsville
Postcode: 3012
Area: Greater Melbourne
Current median: $696,000
Five-year change: –22 per cent
Median in 2028: $545,000
• Middle Park
Postcode: 3206
Area: Greater Melbourne
Current median: $1,915,000
Five-year change: –20 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,534,000
• Hawthorn East
Postcode: 3123
Area: Greater Melbourne
Current median: $775,000
Five-year change: –20 per cent
Median in 2028: $620,000
BRISBANE
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TOP FIVE
• Churchill
Postcode: 4305
Area: Ipswich
Current median: $450,000
Five-year change: 73 per cent
Median in 2028: $779,000
• Bellbowrie
Postcode: 4070
Area: Brisbane West
Current median: $910,000
Five-year change: 71 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,555,000
• Newtown
Postcode: 4305
Area: Ipswich
Current median: $563,000
Five-year change: 70 per cent
Median in 2028: $959,000
• Toogoolawah
Postcode: 4313
Area: Ipswich
Current median: $350,000
Five-year change: 69 per cent
Median in 2028: $592,000
• Sinnamon Park
Postcode: 4073
Area: Brisbane West
Current median: $1,060,000
Five-year change: 68 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,783,000
BOTTOM FIVE
• Windsor
Postcode: 4030
Area: Greater Brisbane
Current median: $541,000
Five-year change: –17 per cent
Median in 2028: $447,000
• Dutton Park
Postcode: 4102
Area: Greater Brisbane
Current median: $539,000
Five-year change: –17 per cent
Median in 2028: $446,000
• South Brisbane
Postcode: 4101
Area: Greater Brisbane
Current median: $549,000
Five-year change: –9 per cent
Median in 2028: $499,000
• Fortitude Valley
Postcode: 4006
Area: Greater Brisbane
Current median: $414,000
Five-year change: –8 per cent
Median in 2028: $381,000
• Wooloowin
Postcode: 4030
Area: Greater Brisbane
Current median: $673,000
Five-year change: –7 per cent
Median in 2028: $624,000
ADELAIDE
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TOP FIVE
• Glenside
Postcode: 5065
Area: Adelaide Central and Hills
Current median: $953,000
Five-year change: 135 per cent
Median in 2028: $2,237,000
• Kensington Gardens
Postcode: 5068
Area: Adelaide Central and Hills
Current median: $980,000
Five-year change: 103 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,990,000
• Elizabeth North
Postcode: 5113
Area: Adelaide North
Current median: $295,000
Five-year change: 90 per cent
Median in 2028: $561,000
• Kingswood
Postcode: 5062
Area: Adelaide South
Current median: $1,433,000
Five-year change: 90 per cent
Median in 2028: $2,723,000
• Davoren Park
Postcode: 5113
Area: Adelaide North
Current median: $330,000
Five-year change: 89 per cent
Median in 2028: $622,000
BOTTOM FIVE
• Payneham South
Postcode: 5070
Area: Greater Adelaide
Current median: $479,000
Five-year change: –16 per cent
Median in 2028: $401,000
• Walkerville
Postcode: 5081
Area: Greater Adelaide
Current median: $609,000
Five-year change: –6 per cent
Median in 2028: $575,000
• Plympton
Postcode: 5038
Area: Greater Adelaide
Current median: $507,000
Five-year change: –2 per cent
Median in 2028: $499,000
• St Peters
Postcode: 5069
Area: Greater Adelaiade
Current median: $1,218,000
Five-year change: –1 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,202,000
• Kurralta Park
Postcode: 5037
Area: Greater Adelaide
Current median: $543,000
Five-year change: 3 per cent
Median in 2028: $561,000
HOBART
TOP FIVE
• Bridgewater
Postcode: 7030
Area: Hobart
Current median: $480,000
Five-year change: 134 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,124,000
• New Norfolk
Postcode: 7140
Area: Hobart
Current median: $460,000
Five-year change: 119 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,008,000
• Primrose Sands
Postcode: 7173
Area: Hobart
Current median: $510,000
Five-year change: 117 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,107,000
• Risdon Vale
Postcode: 7016
Area: Hobart
Current median: $474,000
Five-year change: 111 per cent
Median in 2028: $999,000
• Chigwell
Postcode: 7011
Area: Hobart
Current median: $525,000
Five-year change: 101 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,056,000
BOTTOM FIVE
• Hobart
Postcode: 7000
Area: Greater Hobart
Current median: $800,000
Five-year change: 30 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,037,000
• North Hobart
Postcode: 7000
Area: Greater Hobart
Current median: $880,000
Five-year change: 35 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,191,000
• Battery Point
Postcode: 7004
Area: Greater Hobart
Current median: $1,050,000
Five-year change: 40 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,468,000
• Mount Nelson
Postcode: 7007
Area: Greater Hobart
Current median: $827,000
Five-year change: 42 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,176,000
• Mount Stuart
Postcode: 7000
Area: Greater Hobart
Current median: $845,000
Five-year change: 43 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,208,000
PERTH
TOP FIVE
• Swanbourne
Postcode: 6010
Area: Greater Perth
Current median: $2,105,000
Five-year change: 53 per cent
Median in 2028: $3,211,000
• Glen Forrest
Postcode: 6071
Area: Greater Perth
Current median: $720,000
Five-year change: 50 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,080,000
• Mullaloo
Postcode: 6027
Area: Greater Perth
Current median: $930,000
Five-year change: 46 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,362,000
• Sorrento
Postcode: 6020
Area: Greater Perth
Current median: $1,280,000
Five-year change: 45 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,851,000
• North Beach
Postcode: 6020
Area: Greater Perth
Current median: $1,230,000
Five-year change: 44 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,772,000
BOTTOM FIVE
• Applecross
Postcode: 6153
Area: Greater Perth
Current median: $1,105,000
Five-year change: –24 per cent
Median in 2028: $842,000
• Osborne Park
Postcode: 6017
Area: Greater Perth
Current median: $303,000
Five-year change: –23 per cent
Median in 2028: $232,000
• Shelley
Postcode: 6148
Area: Greater Perth
Current median: $620,000
Five-year change: –18 per cent
Median in 2028: $508,000
• South Perth
Postcode: 6151
Area: Greater Perth
Current median: $635,000
Five-year change: –16 per cent
Median in 2028: $536,000
• Cockburn Central
Postcode: 6164
Area: Greater Perth
Current median: $357,000
Five-year change: –16 per cent
Median in 2028: $301,000
CANBERRA
TOP FIVE
• Coombs
Postcode: 2611
Area: ACT
Current median: $735,000
Five-year change: 89 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,389,000
• Throsby
Postcode: 2914
Area: ACT
Current median: $1,135,000
Five-year change: 67 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,897,000
• Hawker
Postcode: 2614
Area: ACT
Current median: $846,000
Five-year change: 66 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,403,000
• Macgregor
Postcode: 2615
Area: ACT
Current median: $795,000
Five-year change: 66 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,316,000
• Gordon
Postcode: 2906
Area: ACT
Current median: $791,000
Five-year change: 65 per cent
Median in 2028: $1,302,000
BOTTOM FIVE
• Forrest
Postcode: 2603
Area: ACT
Current median: $972,000
Five-year change: –12 per cent
Median in 2028: $855,000
• Bruce
Postcode: 2617
Area: ACT
Current median: $503,000
Five-year change: –4 per cent
Median in 2028: $481,000
• Denman Prospect
Postcode: 2611
Area: ACT
Current median: $731,000
Five-year change: 2 per cent
Median in 2028: $748,000
• Gungahlin
Postcode: 2912
Area: ACT
Current median: $498,000
Five-year change: 10 per cent
Median in 2028: $546,000
• Wright
Postcode: 2611
Area: ACT
Current median: $645,000
Five-year change: 14 per cent
Median in 2028: $736,000
DARWIN
TOP FIVE
• Bakewell
Postcode: 832
Area: Greater Darwin
Current median: $400,000
Five-year change: 36 per cent
Median in 2028: $544,000
• Berrimah
Postcode: 828
Area: Greater Darwin
Current median: $475,000
Five-year change: 35 per cent
Median in 2028: $643,000
• Malak
Postcode: 812
Area: Greater Darwin
Current median: $525,000
Five-year change: 35 per cent
Median in 2028: $707,000
• Durack
Postcode: 830
Area: Greater Darwin
Current median: $550,000
Five-year change: 30 per cent
Median in 2028: $716,000
• Muirhead
Postcode: 810
Area: Greater Darwin
Current median: $711,000
Five-year change: 29 per cent
Median in 2028: $919,000
BOTTOM FIVE
• Nightcliff
Postcode: 810
Area: Greater Darwin
Current median: $430,000
Five-year change: –9 per cent
Median in 2028: $392,000
• Larrakeyah
Postcode: 820
Area: Greater Darwin
Current median: $425,000
Five-year change: –9 per cent
Median in 2028: $388,000
• Fannie Bay
Postcode: 820
Area: Greater Darwin
Current median: $542,000
Five-year change: –1 per cent
Median in 2028: $534,000
• Coconut Grove
Postcode: 810
Area: Greater Darwin
Current median: $372,000
Five-year change: –1 per cent
Median in 2028: $369,000
• Rapid Creek
Postcode: 810
Area: Greater Darwin
Current median: $500,000
Five-year change: 0 per cent
Median in 2028: $500,000
Originally published as What your home will be worth in five years