Weekend Best Bets: Find out who the experts are tipping
PODCAST: OUR experts give you an early shot at finding a winner as they look at the major races around the nation.
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OUR experts give you an early shot at finding a winner as they look at the major races around the nation.
Last week ... Darren Prendergast steered punters into Epsom Handicap winner Hauraki ($6.50) with his best bet after Ray Thomas had got the ball rolling with It’s Somehwat ($1.55) at Randwick. Nathan Exelby also delivered as Pepperano ($2) got the job done at Doomben. Brad Davidson was on the money with his value tip to back Dibayani for a place in the Epsom Handicap. Dibayani ($26, $6.70 place) was pipped on the line by Hauraki, while Simon Moy got punters off to a good start last Friday night when Real Love ($3) won at Moonee Valley.
HOT TIPS: WEEKEND BEST BETS
THE EARLY OIL: CAULFIELD
ANALYSIS: CAULFIELD GUINEAS
DATES TO REMEMBER: SPRING RACING CARNIVAL
SATURDAY MEETINGS (AEDT times)
CAULFIELD (10 races, start 12.20pm),
RANDWICK (9 races, start 12.35pm),
DOOMBEN (9 races, start 1.24pm),
MORPHETTVILLE (8 races, 1.38pm),
BUNBURY (8 races, start 4.14pm).
BRAD DAVIDSON & SHAYNE O’CASS PREVIEW SATURDAY’S BIG RACES
CAULFIELD
MATT STEWART (Herald Sun). Best bet form: 4x262
STAR TURN
Race 10, No. 12
One of the best members of a hot group of three-year-olds. Surely wins.
TAB Fixed Odds: $2.80
Value Bet: PRINCE OF PENZANCE (Race 2, No. 1)
TAB Fixed Odds: $10
MICHAEL MANLEY (Herald Sun). Form: 42114
STAR TURN
Race 10, No. 12
Brilliant three-year-old colt who made Astern work to beat him when he last appeared. Has a great weight advantage over his rivals and he’s going to take catching.
TAB Fixed Odds: $2.80
Value Bet: STOP MAKING SENSE (Race 3, No. 11)
TAB Fixed Odds: $8.50
DARYL TIMMS (Herald Sun). Form: 24212
FOXPLAY
Race 7, No. 4
Ready to progress to 1600m after two wins in a row at Group 2 level. Can extend it to three.
TAB Fixed Odds: $2.90
Value Bet: TOSEN STARDOM (Race 9, No. 2)
TAB Fixed Odds: $5.50
CHRIS VERNUCCIO, DANNY RUSSELL & MATT STEWART PREVIEW GUINEAS DAY AT CAULFIELD
BRAD DAVIDSON (Daily Telegraph). Form: 21577
WAZZENME
Race 8, No. 9
He’s hardly a good thing but the $21 on offer about Wazzenme in the Caulfield Guineas is good value. He would have defeated Sacred Elixir had he drawn a barrier last start and happy to back him each-way.
TAB Fixed Odds: $7
Value Bet: MISSROCK (Race 7, No. 2)
TAB Fixed Odds: $12
SIMON MOY (SuperRacing). Form: 12126
SACRED ELIXIR
Race 8, No. 1
This young Kiwi was exceptional in the prelude over an unsuitable distance. Trainer Tony Pike is pleased with his form and if the Sydney sharpshooters don’t being their A-game there is no reason why he cannot add another Group 1 to the one he won during the Queensland winter.
TAB Fixed Odds: $6.50
Value Bet: MISSROCK (Race 7, No. 2)
TAB Fixed Odds: $12
CHRIS VERNUCCIO (SuperRacing). Form: 5x164
FOXPLAY
Race 7, No. 4
Bypassed last week’s Flight Stakes and should be fresher for the Thousand Guineas against subsequent winner Global Glamour, who has to contend with the travel to Melbourne off a seven-day back up. Foxplay did beat Global Glamour the last time the two met despite finding trouble and the Sydney fillies do look a class above.
TAB Fixed Odds: $2.90
Value Bet: IMPENDING (Race 8, No. 2)
TAB Fixed Odds: $4.40
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
RANDWICK
RAY THOMAS (Daily Telegraph). Form: 21251
DIXIE CHICK
Race 9, No. 10
Talented mare who will be fitter for her comeback effort, drops 4.5kg and is better suited on the bigger Randwick track.
TAB Fixed Odds: $6
JOHN DAVIS (Daily Telegraph). Form: 13524
HIS MAJESTY
Race 6, No. 7
Has race fitness on his side and lost no admirers with his gallant fourth behind Chetwood in the Cameron Handicap at the Beaumont track last start. Looks well placed and any give in ground would be welcomed.
TAB Fixed Odds: $5.50
Value Bet: BALMAIN BOY (Race 3, No. 8)
TAB Fixed Odds: $4.60
SHAYNE O’CASS (Sportsman). Form: 73316
ROCK FORTHE LADIES
Race 9, No. 2
Trial watchers will only want to tip one horse all day I reckon (apart from Showtime I guess) and that’s Rock Forthe Ladies. I am not saying ‘moral’ but he’s borderline good thing in my book.
TAB Fixed Odds: $6
Value Bet: LOYAL TOAST (Race 4, No. 18)
TAB Fixed Odds: $51
DARREN PRENDERGAST (SuperRacing). Form: 16521
SIGNPOSTED
Race 3, No. 1
Won four in a row before chasing home Fabrizio for second last start. Rock-hard fit and gets weight relief with BlaIke McDougall’s claim. Great chance.
TAB Fixed Odds: $6
Value Bet: FLAMBERGE (Caulfield, Race 10, No. 1)
TAB Fixed Odds: $9
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
DOOMBEN
NATHAN EXELBY (The Courier-Mail). Form: 22641
HANWRITTEN
Race 5, No. 10
Clocked strong figures in Sydney last time and a repeat of that makes him the one to beat here. Gets the services of Jeff Lloyd, who is striking at a phenomenal level in metro grade in the new season.
TAB Fixed Odds: $3.30
Value Bet: NEARCTIC CHILLER (Race 2, No. 13)
TAB Fixed Odds: $12
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
MORPHETTVILLE
BEN SCADDEN (The Advertiser). Form: 16144
GREY STREET
Race 2, No. 5
Smart Victorian mare who has been close-up in good Melbourne grade at both runs back from a break. Should be finishing her race off powerfully with 3kg claim for in-form apprentice Matthew Poon.
TAB Fixed Odds: $2.10
Value Bet: LOVEITT (Race 3, No. 4)
TAB Fixed Odds: $7.50
LINCOLN MOORE (The Advertiser). Form: 86113
JIM’S JOURNEY
Race 1, No. 1
Quality local staying prospect who should be ready to fire after three runs back from a break.
He was super first-up in the Penny edition, ran OK in the distance reduced Balaklava Cup before a solid effort behind Raw Impulse last time. This is a significant drop in class, he’s out to his right journey and this does look his race to lose.
TAB Fixed Odds: $3
Value Bet: ROSELLI STING (Race 8, No. 8)
TAB Fixed Odds: $7
MARKETS: TAB FIXED ODDS
Note: Prices correct at time of publishing
Originally published as Weekend Best Bets: Find out who the experts are tipping