Warwick Farm best bets, inside mail for Wednesday, October 16, 2024

The Gai Waterhouse and Adrian Bott-trained Newfoundland relished the 2400m to win last start and can make it back-to-back wins when he heads to Warwick Farm on Wednesday. BEST BETS, INSIDE MAIL

Racenet and The Daily Telegraph form student Adam Sherry analyses Wednesday’s eight-race card at Warwick Farm, presenting his best bets, value selections and quaddie picks.

• PUNT LIKE A PRO: Want to know what James is backing with his own money? Check out our all new Pro Tips section, which features fully transparent return on investment statistics for all our professional tipsters. SUBSCRIBE NOW!

■ ■ ■ ■ ■

WARWICK FARM TIPS

BEST BET
Race 4 No.3 NEWFOUNDLAND
Followed a handy first-up run with a smart win over 2400m at Rosehill. Hard to beat again.

NEXT BEST
Race 5 No.2 CONFESS OUR DREAMS
Just beaten by Spring Lee first-up then a length fourth at Rosehill. Back on grade and ready to peak.

VALUE BET
Race 8 No.4 DAZZLE LEGEND
Will take improvement from his first-up third over 1200m at Rosehill two weeks ago. Goes well second-up and will appreciate the extra trip and wet track.

BEST EXOTIC
Quinella Race 3: 3, 4

QUADDIE
Race 5: 2, 7, 9
Race 6: 4, 10, 12
Race 7: 1, 3, 7, 8
Race 8: 1, 3, 4, 9

JOCKEY TO FOLLOW
James McDonald will be at short odds to win the Jockey Challenge.

• REVEALED: The slotholders who’ve struck it rich ... and not so rich ... in The Everest

■ ■ ■ ■ ■

RACE 1: 2YO MAIDEN PLATE (1000m)
HAD IT ALL (3) is by Zoustar from the stakes winner Invictus Salute. Sat fourth one off the fence and closed smartly to win her Rosehill heat on Oct 4. ICARIAN DREAM (4) is by Blue Point. Good trial win on the Kensington on Sept 23. Scratched from the Gimcrack when one of the favourites. BURMA STAR (1) is by Exceed And Excel from the stakes-placed Gongs. Took benefit from his first trial when he tracked Farnished and closed over the top to win his Oct 4 Rosehill heat in slightly quicker time to Had It All.
BET: Had It All each-way.

RACE 2: 3YO+ MAIDEN HANDICAP (1400m)
BENGAL (3) ran a handy fourth to Southern Charm on debut here in March. Resumes here as a gelding and has been good in both trials. JUSTICE PLEASE (8) settled back in the field and was making good ground in the straight when severely checked near the 150m and losing her momentum when beaten just over a length into fourth behind Cosmeena when resuming at Newcastle on Oct 1. Step up to 1400m looks suitable. DORADUS (1) was third to Stand Aside in a Super Maiden here at his second start. Trialling well.
BET: Bengal to win.

Race 3: 3YO MAIDEN PLATE (1200m)
Socrazyinlove is a debutant by I Am Invincible from a great-granddaughter of Eight Carat. Sat three-wide and raced away to win her Sept 25 Warwick Farm trial on heavy ground. MANOS (6) was good in his two runs at Canterbury and Newcastle back in June. Has worked home for close seconds in both recent trials. ALINEA (10) was just behind the placegetters in the Gimcrack and Widden Stakes before a third on the Kensington. Kicks off here and trialling well.
BET: Socrazyinlove each-way.

RACE 4: BENCHMARK 72 (2400m)
NEWFOUNDLAND (3) was good first-up when third to Unlimited at Canterbury before a big win from Whisker To Whisker over 2400m at Rosehill on Oct 2. Stays at the trip and hard to beat again. AHURIRI (4) was jumping from 1400m to 2140m but was disappointing when down the track behind Alalcance here on Sept 25. Has since trialled well at Randwick when a close second without pressure. RATTLE AND HUM (1) boxed on for third to Newfoundland after racing outside the leader.
BET: Newfoundland to win.

RACE 5: FILLIES & MARES BENCHMARK 72 (1100m)
CONFESS OUR DREAMS (2) was just caught late by the talented Spring Lee when resuming at Randwick before working early to cross to the lead when a length fourth to Peace Treaty at Rosehill on Sept 28. Back in grade. NOSTALGIA (7) raced keenly first-up over 1250m when fifth to Countyourblessings at Canterbury before dropping back to 1100m when fourth to Lovero here. LET’S GO AGAIN (9) steps up in class but has won her last two starts, the most latest from Mogul Monarch on a heavy track at Kembla on Sept 28.
BET: Confess Our Dreams to win.

RACE 6: BENCHMARK 78 (1200m)
IRON MAN (4) was good winning his first two runs this campaign before a fourth to Willaidow at Randwick. His only blip was a seventh to Uzziah on a good track at Randwick on Sept 7 before winning a trial and then finishing second to Willaidow at Rosehill. He loves the sting out of the track. RAVENCLAW (10) was checked near the 200m when fifth to Boston Rocks at Canterbury first-up before a big win from Need Some Luck at Rosehill last start. FIRE STAR (12) broke back into the winners circle with a big win over Bonita Queen here last start.
BET: Iron Man each-way.

RACE 7: BENCHMARK 88 (1600m)
JAMBEROO (8) has been freshened to drop back to 1600m from his second in the Bathurst Cup. Was an all-the-way winner over winner over 1550m on the Kensington on Aug 14. TAVI TIME (1) drifted well back from his wide gate before finishing four lengths behind Willaidow first-up over 1400m at Rosehill. Up to his pet trip and very good second-up. BALANCE PLAY (3) is an import now with Waterhouse and Bott who has a handy record in England. Rolled forward to lead before finishing third to Amur in his 1100m Canterbury trial on Sept 24.
BET: Jamberoo each-way.

RACE 8: BENCHMARK 72 (1400m)
DAZZLE LEGEND (4) was held up early in the straight when third to Ravenclaw first-up and should have finished closer. Has a strong second-up record with a win and a second from two runs and loves it wet. WEMBANYAMA (9) resumed with a third to Edited By over this trip at Rosehill two weeks ago. Will be better for the run. EDITED BY (1) is racing very well and gets in well with the 3kg claim.
BET: Dazzle Legend each-way.

Originally published as Warwick Farm best bets, inside mail for Wednesday, October 16, 2024