Anthony Albanese vote falls but Labor’s still in front: RedBridge poll

Labor’s primary vote has fallen three per cent in a month, driven by voters losing faith in its ability to manage the economy, but the Albanese government would be easily re-elected, according to a new poll.

Exclusive: Labor’s primary vote has fallen three per cent in a month, driven by voters losing faith in its ability to manage the economy, but the Albanese Government would be easily re-elected, according to the latest RedBridge poll of federal voting intentions.

The poll saw the government’s primary vote drop to 33 per cent while the Coalition was up one point to 38 per cent.

On a two-party preferred basis the poll puts Labor ahead 52 per cent 48 – a two point drop from its 54 per cent lead in March.

The RedBridge numbers are in line with results from pollsters Resolve, Morgan and Freshwater, which have all recently recorded drops in the ALP's primary votes and swings toward the Coalition.

At 33 per cent, Labor’s primary vote has now just above the 32.58 it got at the 2022 election while the Coalition’s vote is now 2.3 per cent higher than it was at that poll.

Prime Minister Anthony Albanese speaks during the funeral for stabbed Bondi Junction security guard Faraz Tahir at Masjid Baitul Huda. Picture: NCA NewsWire / Flavio Brancaleone

The Greens’ primary vote was up 2 per cent since March in the latest Redbridge poll and at 12 per cent is only 0.25 per cent below its vote share at the 2022 election.

The biggest change in the past month was a drop from 16 per cent to 11 per cent in people who said they planned to vote for another party.

Almost 49 per cent of voters think Australia is headed in the wrong direction compared to 30 per cent who think it is going the right way, an almost identical result to February, the last time RedBridge asked the question.

Although it still leads the Coalition on this metric, since December Labor’s share of voters who think it is best placed to manage the economy has fallen from 32 per cent to 25 per cent.