You'd have to like Scott Morrison's odds of getting to choose his own date with his executioners (us). Nevertheless, the "iron laws of arithmetic" (as put by his slain predecessor Malcolm Turnbull) are worthy of further appraisal.

As it stands, with Tony Smith in the Speaker's chair, the Coalition commands 74 of 148 votes. Wentworth is out for public adjudication, and Page MP Kevin Hogan quit the Nationals for the crossbench, protesting the Libs' latest parasuicide (funny that Barnaby Joyce's free-swinging wang didn't long ago impel Hogan's torn soul).