By the middle of last year, the only two election outcomes being seriously contemplated were a Labor majority and a Labor minority.
That began to change in July when The Australian Financial Review/Freshwater Strategy poll showed the Coalition, for the first time, had moved ahead of Labor in that it was leading the two-party-preferred vote by 51 per cent to 49 per cent.
An earlier version of this column said Peter Dutton’s shadow cabinet colleagues could recall the bank policy being discussed in that forum. This was an error. They could not recall such a discussion.