What’s next if Victoria’s lockdown can’t eliminate delta?
If an eradication strategy doesn’t dramatically decrease cases by September 2, it might be worth trying a soft lockdown while waiting for vaccination coverage to increase.
Tony BlakelyEpidemiologist and public health medicine specialist.
Lockdown No.5 in Victoria was textbook. An outbreak occurred, contact tracing swung into action, cases were found, and over time the number of daily cases infectious in the community diminished to zero for three days, and we came out of lockdown.
Lockdown No.6 is not going well. Victoria cannot seem to tip the balance despite even stricter restrictions. In fact, the majority of cases found have been infectious out in the community, and the numbers are going up rather than down.
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Tony Blakely, an epidemiologist and public health medicine specialist, is a professor at the University of Melbourne.
