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Could CBA’s clever growth strategy come back to bite?

Commonwealth Bank’s success in attracting migrant customers has been hugely impressive. But one veteran banking analyst sees risks building. 

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With only a week and a bit before Commonwealth Bank delivers its December half profit – and kicks off the February reporting season proper – it’s time to play the Australian market’s favourite game: how to justify CBA’s valuation, which is the highest in the history of developed market banking.

There are plenty of interesting threads to this debate, from the role that passive and superannuation fund flows have played in the last 12 months, to the state of mortgage market competition (which is starting to heat up again, according to Macquarie) and the battle for banking deposits and loans.

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James Thomson is senior Chanticleer columnist based in Melbourne. He was the Companies editor and editor of BRW Magazine. Connect with James on Twitter. Email James at j.thomson@afr.com

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    Original URL: https://www.afr.com/chanticleer/could-cba-s-clever-growth-strategy-come-back-to-bite-20250203-p5l97m