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Peter Varghese

February

Those who had gone into therapy for Trump Derangement Syndrome during his first term, now face a virulent relapse.

Trump’s Gaza grab shows America is no better than China

Australia’s former top diplomat says Donald Trump may achieve what 75 years of post-war anti-Americanism could not: concede the case for moral equivalence.

November 2024

Donald Trump back in the Oval Office may not bring the results we expect.

Trump is all power with no grand strategy

The US president-elect’s delight in being unpredictable may end up dissipating US power rather than strengthening it. Australians may come to regret that.

October 2024

Australia has an interest in America’s presence but not in its primacy.

The unresolved tension at the core of Australia’s strategic policy

Australia wants to constrain China, but without tying itself to America’s own ambitions and all that might mean.

June 2023

All that has changed as US-China competition becomes baked into the dynamics of the region.

Don’t throw Indo-Pacific economic co-operation out with the bathwater

In a region divided geopolitically, there is an increased risk that nations will erect new barriers to trade and investment in the mistaken belief this will protect sovereignty and self-reliance.

May 2023

A visit to Beijing by Anthony Albanese would reinforce that relations between Australia and China have stabilised.

How we can live with a weaker America

We must not exchange a US hegemony for a dominant China. A new regional balance of power is the answer.

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March 2023

At what point does the sensible if inelegant policy of “impactful projection” morph into a new version of Vietnam War-era Forward Defence?

The balance sheet of the nuclear subs deal

The real test of sovereignty is whether you can defend yourself and credibly deter an attack on your territory. Is that what the nuclear submarines deliver?

A screen displays a news broadcast of Li Keqiang, China’s premier, during the opening of the First Session of the 14th National People’s Congress (NPC) at the Great Hall of the People in Beijing.

Is Australia in the dark about its most powerful neighbours?

New research has revealed that Australia is losing expertise and knowledge on Asia. Here’s what we can do to fix that.

September 2021

The decision to build nuclear submarines is more a leap in technology than it is a fundamental strategic departure.

AUKUS is a good plan B for China. But let’s not bring on Cold War 2.0

Australia still needs to invest in a credible self-defence policy, because in foreign and strategic policy there are no “forever” friends or allies.

June 2021

Ideology plays an important role but in relation to thinking about the role of the Chinese Communist Party rather than to any ambition to crush democracies.

China seeks client states not ideological conquests

Rather than follow in the slipstream of the G7 or US, Australia needs its own distinctive strategy to push back against Beijing’s ambition to rebuild the Middle Kingdom.

November 2020

Marise Payne, Australia's foreign minister, speaks during the Quadrilateral Security Dialogue  meeting in Tokyo,  on  October 6.

The Quad yet to face consequences of China’s economic growth

The Quadrilateral Security Dialogue is not an anti-China alliance in the making, but ministerial talks held last month in Japan show Australia still confronts policy issues.

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/by/peter-varghese-p4yw2n