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Hugh White

February

We should be grateful to Paul Keating for goading our present leaders to have more faith in their country.

Paul Keating’s critics could not be more wrong on AUKUS

It’s the former PM who understands that the world has changed, and we can no longer take American power for granted to keep Asia stable and Australia safe.

April 2021

The gloves are off as tensions over Taiwan escalate. From left, Xi Jinping, Tsai Ing-wen, Yoshihide Suga, Joe Biden and Scott Morrison.

A war over Taiwan would be nothing like Afghanistan

If Taiwan triggers a military conflict, the PM will need to think harder about heading off to battle whenever America does. Or risk being caught up in another forever war much closer to home than Afghanistan.

March 2021

US Secretary of State Antony Blinken cannot have been surprised at the Chinese response.

American overreach in Anchorage points to conflict with China

It’s fantasy to think that the US can still lay down the law as it attempted to in Alaska. Avoiding a Pacific war will take hard statecraft instead.

January 2021

Taiwanese jet shadows a bomber from mainland China in airspace south of the island.

Stakes over Taiwan couldn’t be higher

Joe Biden would face the most agonising of choices if China moves against the disputed island. And so would Australia.

December 2020

Wineries in Australia have grown increasingly dependent on China for growth.

Why China has beaten up Australia harder than anyone else

We are a perfect example for Beijing to show other fence-sitters that they will have to make a choice.

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November 2020

"Ham-fisted attempt to mend things with Beijing":  Scott Morrison  addresses the Policy Exchange in London.

Morrison has misread China

The Prime Minister thinks he can set the terms with Beijing. But hard choices and compromises are required to manage our region's ruthless great power.

US President Donlad Trump and Democratic candidate Joe Biden.

Whoever wins, Australia can't rely on its great and powerful friend

Donald Trump has done little to counter China, and Joe Biden would do no better. Australia must therefore face up to a future of fading US power in our region.

July 2020

Foreign Minister Marise Payne and US Secretary of State Mike Pompeo in Washington ahead of AUSMIN talks.

Payne sensibly says no to Pompeo's coalition of the willing

Australia has avoided joining the Trump administration's new cold war. But big questions about handling the escalating US-China rivalry remain unanswered.

Australia can no longer assume America will come to our aid if there is conflict in our region.

Why Australia's strategic situation is far worse than we think

For all the dire warnings in last week's defence review, its chief fault lies in being far too optimistic.

May 2020

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Australia must get better at picking its fights with China

Power is still the essence of international relations. That is the reality Canberra must learn to manage in the new Asia, writes Hugh White.

March 2020

Chinese President Xi Jinping, left, and Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi have little interest in the other's backyard.

Why India is not going to save us from China's power

India is more likely to join Beijing in carving up the region than to help out Australia with its foreign policy dilemmas.

September 2019

Can waning American power even keep its commitments to Australia?

Scott Morrison will be asked to make an impossible choice

The price of a rare White House dinner invitation will be commitment to Washington's side against China. This is what the PM should be telling the Americans instead.

Original URL: https://www.afr.com/by/hugh-white-p4yviu