KFC SuperCoach 2021: Round 16 trade guide
If you traded Brodie Grundy during the byes in KFC SuperCoach, you’re going to want him back — but is it worth waiting another week? TRADE GUIDE
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Just as the bye-rounds finished, and KFC SuperCoaches were getting set to make their final upgrades, popular forward Jarman Impey suffered a serious ankle injury at training on Thursday.
More than nine per cent of you traded him out immediately, others waited to see what unfolded in Round 15 – and for the official diagnosis.
Hawthorn coach Alastair Clarkson confirmed it was a ‘serious ankle sprain’ on Saturday, and when asked by reporters if he thought Impey would miss the rest of the season, he replied: “Yeah, I think so.”
It all makes for another interesting week of trading in KFC SuperCoach.
It’s likely you will, either, be searching for an Impey replacement, or looking to add that last – or close to - premium player to your side.
So, let’s get to all the best options.
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THE JARMAN IMPEY TRADE
This week
There’s one forward option in particular that it may be best to wait on – we’ll get to that later – but these are some of the top Impey replacement’s ahead of Round 16.
Patrick Dangerfield (Geel) $495,300
Breakeven: 100
In a reminder of his scoring power, the Geelong star exploded out of the blocks to have 71 KFC SuperCoach points to his name by half-time against the Lions. His disposal efficiency of 52 per cent was, again, a concern, and he may have finished with only 96 points after spending plenty of time forward late when the game was out of reach. But that’s two scores in the 90s now - the signs are there. Dangerfield is the obvious replacement option at less than $500k.
Dayne Zorko (Bris) $649,000
Breakeven: 86
If you have spare cash – and trades - or have already fully upgraded your team, then consider jumping on the runaway train in the forward line before it’s too late. Zorko has posted scores of 140, 117, 162, 122 and 174 in his past five matches – only Marcus Bontempelli has a better five-round average - and is still worth some thought at $649k, given the gap between the Lions veteran and the rest of the field.
Charlie Dixon (Port) $527,700
Breakeven: 103
Back down the other end of the pricing spectrum, Dixon is well-and-truly flying under the KFC SuperCoach radar. Of all forwards, only Zorko and Aaron Hall have scored more points in their past five matches than Dixon, who has posted five KFC SuperCoach tons in his past seven outings. Further highlighting his consistency, Dixon’s two other scores have been 83 and 90 – the latter coming despite the Power tall hobbling around late against the Swans.
DEEP DIVE: Dixon & Drew
— Matt Turner (@mattturner1986) June 27, 2021
Charlie's form may have snuck up on some. Scored 100 ranking points 5x since Rd 8. Hinkley said he was close to best-on v Swans.
Drew 3rd in #AFL in tackles. Defensive pressure huge last night. We spoke post-game. #AFLPowerSwanshttps://t.co/IK6mL3JI38
Toby Greene (GWS) $486,400
Breakeven: 77
A quiet first half against the Hawks saw the star Giant fail to reach three figures for the first time since his return from injury in Round 13. Greene finished with 84 points from 16 touches and two goals and is still very well priced, given his scoring potential. But with his injury and suspension history, this selection doesn’t come without risk.
Kyle Langford (Ess) $499,500
Breakeven: 119
He may have let new owners down in Round 14, but Langford posted his fourth KFC SuperCoach ton in five rounds, finishing with 29 disposals, 10 contested possessions, six tackles and 103 points in the loss to Melbourne. The 24-year-old failed to reach three figures in the first nine matches of the year – and on 13 occasions last season – but he was handed extra midfield responsibility with the injuries to Dylan Shiel and Andrew McGrath - and he hasn’t looked back.
Lance Franklin (Syd) $433,500
Breakeven: 78
Picking Toby Greene looks safe compared to this play. But Franklin was at his brilliant best against the Power, booting 4.2 from 16 disposals to finish with a game-high 130 points. He finished with 47 points against the Hawks last week, but he recorded scores of 95, 90 and 130 in the previous three matches. Could we?
Or next?
Rowan Marshall (StK) $464,300
Breakeven: 162
Projected Round 17 price: $427k (with 78-point score)
This is the one forward option I was talking about above. It was Marshall’s first match since Round 9, it was wet and slippery at the MCG on Friday night and he only played 65 per cent of game time. So, his 10-disposal, 8-contested possession, 68-point performance was actually reasonably impressive. Marshall’s price will fall again, even with an improved score in Round 16, making him a great one-trade replacement for Impey next week.
Tom Hawkins (Geel) $486,400
Breakeven: 168
Projected Round 17 price: $458k (with 104-point score)
Hawkins, who has struggled in the past two weeks with scores of 58 and 60, is similar. The star forward will fall to less than $460k even with a KFC SuperCoach ton and the Cats take on the Blues and Dockers after this round’s clash with the Bombers. And they finish the season with North Melbourne and then, at this stage, three matches at the Cattery.
Shai Bolton (Rich) $502,400
Breakeven: 156
Projected Round 17 price: $483k (with 113-point score)
Before the loss to the Saints, Bolton had scored 96 or more in each of the previous eight games, with six KFC SuperCoach tons. But, now, either side of that impressive run are scores of 29 and 44 – the latter on the back of just 11 disposals on Friday night. But it means the young star’s price could fall by up to $40k even with two KFC SuperCoach tons in the next two rounds.
THE FINAL UPGRADE
The urge to complete your team is hard to resist. But there are still eight matches to go and, as we saw with the Impey, things can – and will – happen that will affect KFC SuperCoach in the final two months of the home-and-away season.
Ideally, you would like to have a few trades up your sleeve to cover anything that pops up, after you’ve made your final upgrade.
There aren’t many of us, however, who live in an ideal word, so don’t panic.
But it’s why some of you must resist the urge to rush into it. Sure, the more weeks with an extra premium scorer is – usually - better but you need to maximise your final trades.
If waiting a week or two for a cash cow like Callum Coleman-Jones (BE: 18) or Tom Highmore (BE: -54) to make more money allows you to get the big-name target – instead of the value option you could settle for – or saves you one trade, then that’s probably your best move.
But if not …
This week
Lachie Neale (Bris) $575,700, Mid
Breakeven: 85
KFC SuperCoaches who jumped on early had their hearts in their mouths when Neale left the field in pain after hurting his shoulder on Thursday night. But he not only returned, but produced a big second half to finish with 98 KFC SuperCoach points. For non-owners, it means his price remained steady ahead of a meeting with the Crows, a game the shoulder appears to be OK for.
Lachie Neale should be fine for next week. No further damage other than jarring. Lions bracing for a staging fine for Daniher. Jeremy Cameron tackle/bump on Neale was fair. And will be judged in that manner. https://t.co/Pppgy3LmjM
— Jon Ralph (@RalphyHeraldSun) June 25, 2021
Zach Merrett (Ess) $591,000, Mid
Breakeven: 108
The Bombers star, who posted a season-high 147 against the Demons on Saturday night, is the seventh-ranked KFC SuperCoach midfielder for total points. And of the top-seven, he is the only one available for less than $600k. Tom Mitchell ($579,200), who is really hitting his straps, posting three consecutive KFC SuperCoach tons for the first time this year, and Sam Walsh ($545,100), who responded in a big way from the Matt de Boer-affected 131, are two others in the top-11 priced in the $500k bracket.
Travis Boak (Port) $517,000, Mid
Breakeven: 104
Speaking of tags, the Port star shrugged off the attention of Swan George Hewett to power his side to victory after half-time. Boak scored 100 points in the second half alone to finish with 124 – his highest score since Round 1. He’s failed to reach three figures five times this season but the 32-year-old still presents plenty of value at the price.
Jy Simpkin (North) $558,900, Mid
Breakeven: 71
He’s a little more expensive, but Simpkin is another value option to consider in the midfield. After a slow start, which saw him average just 83 points in the opening eight rounds, the young Roo has posted scores of 164, 54, 108, 128, 136 and 122 in the past six matches. It’s form reminiscent of his huge start to last season when Simpkin, who is in less than three per cent of teams, averaged 120 in his first six matches. Can he keep it up?
Lachie Whitfield (GWS) $521,900, Def
Breakeven: 65
If you still have one spot open in defence, Whitfield is your man. He’s posted four KFC SuperCoach tons in the five matches since his Round 10 return and he’s still available for $521k.
Jordan Ridley (Ess) $470,900, Def
Breakeven: 55
Yes, it could change again if, say, Aaron Francis returns, but the Jordan Ridley from the opening month is back. There may not be a 120-point score yet, but the reigning Bombers best-and-fairest took a game-high eight kick-ins – and played on from each of them – on his way to a second consecutive score of 111 in Round 15.
Looks like Jordan Ridley is back in the driver's seat once again at kick-ins. Took a game-high 8 kick-ins and played on from each of them. Plus he had 28 disposals (25 effective). Nice week to bring him in. #SuperCoach#AFLFantasy#AFLDonsDees
— Fantasy Freako (@FantasyFreako) June 26, 2021
Or next?
Clayton Oliver (Melb) $629,900, Mid
Breakeven: 158
With Bontempelli seemingly out of the picture given his $700k price tag, Oliver is the big name midfielder you might be able to afford. His price dropped by another $38k in Round 14 and, with a likely encounter with De Boer this weekend, it could drop to $600k. The Giants tagger restricted the star Demon to 67 points in Round 3 and if something similar happens again, we’ll be talking much less than that.
Tom Stewart (Geel) $549,700, Def
Breakeven: 146
Already have Whitfield and Ridley, but still need another premium defender? Following the Round 15 disaster against the Lions, the star Cats is set to face back-to-back big breakevens, even with two decent scores.
Brodie Grundy (Coll) $618,600, Ruck
Breakeven: 153
After what Grundy did on his return against Docker Sean Darcy – 22 disposals and 135 points – many KFC SuperCoaches are scrambling to get him back in. But Giant Matt Flynn could have one more price rise in him and, with the St Kilda combination of Paddy Ryder and Rowan Marshall - who he scored 103 point against last year - awaiting in Round 16, there’s a strong case to wait. Of course, however, if money isn’t an issue, an extra week with Grundy is always a win.
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