Trump v Harris: Polls show Kamala Harris ahead
New polling has shown where Kamala Harris has picked up key votes after she attacked Donald Trump, declaring “the momentum in this race is shifting” and the Republican candidate was “feeling it”.
US presidential hopeful Kamala Harris is set to beat Donald Trump in key swing states according to new polls released.
A Reuters/Ipsos poll has Ms Harris leading by one point with 43-42 among registered voters.
Bloomberg News/Morning Consult’s poll, which is based off 11,538 voters, across seven key states, has Ms Harris leading Mr Trump with 47 per cent of the vote to his 46 as well.
Looking at the state-by-state analysis, Ms Harris is leading in Michigan (53-42), Wisconsin (49-47), Arizona (49-47) and Nevada (47-45). She is tied with Mr Trump in Georgia (47-47). And Mr Trump leads in North Carolina (48-46) and Pennsylvania (50-46).
Despite this, the Democrats’ vote share has increased in all seven battleground states.
“Kamala Harris wipes out Trump’s swing state lead,” Bloomberg reporter Jon Levi said, saying she is “riding a wave of enthusiasm among young, black and Hispanic voters”.
Bloomberg reporter Josh Wingrove added: “Harris has wiped out Trump’s lead.”
“The poll found a big Democrat lead in Michigan, a more modest Trump lead in Pennsylvania and close contests everywhere else. Dead heat.”
It comes as Ms Harris launched a searing attack on Mr Trump, telling her biggest campaign rally yet that the momentum was shifting in the White House race and daring the Republican to debate her face to face.
Vice President Harris’s trip to Atlanta, Georgia, on Wednesday morning (AEST) comes as reenergised Democrats regard the swing state as being in play again, after it looked beyond hope under President Joe Biden before his shock withdrawal from the 2024 election.
The presumptive Democratic nominee is aiming to expand the party’s 2024 battleground map and appeal to young Black voters, delivering a firm, 20-minute speech to about 10,000 supporters in a packed arena and pledging Americans “are not going back” to the “failed policies” of Mr Trump.
“Now, the baton is in our hands,” Ms Harris said to loud applause. “We have a fight in front of us... And we are the underdogs in this race.”
Ms Harris’ nascent presidential bid took off following Mr Biden’s July 21 exit from the race, with much of the party coalescing behind her and her campaign raising a staggering $200 million.
“The momentum in this race is shifting, and there are signs that Donald Trump is feeling it,” she said.
The Republican nominee recently said he would forego political tradition and not debate Ms Harris, and also unleashed a barrage of insults against his rival, calling her “crazy” and a “bum.”
“Well Donald, I do hope you’ll reconsider to meet me on the debate stage, because as the saying goes, if you’ve got something to say, say it to my face,” Ms Harris said, to roars of approval.
Ms Harris also repeated her popular line about how, as a former prosecutor and California attorney general going up against predators and fraudsters, she knows “Donald Trump’s type.”
“In this campaign, I will proudly put my record against his any day of the week,” she said.
With just 98 days before the election, Ms Harris is under pressure to announce her vice presidential pick.
Asked on Tuesday (local time) whether she had chosen one, Ms Harris told reporters: “Not yet.”
The search must be nearing a conclusion, however, as her team announced that Ms Harris and her new running mate would campaign next week in battlegrounds Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Michigan, North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona and Nevada.
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KAMALA HARRIS FORECAST TO WIN ELECTION
Kamala Harris will win the US Presidential election according to a famous election forecaster who has only got it wrong once in the last 40 years.
The revelation comes as Ms Harris prepared to attend a rally in Atlanta, Georgia on Wednesday morning at 9.30am AEST (7.30pm local time) supported by rapper Megan Thee Stallion.
“(Atlanta) hotties see you tomorrow!” Stallion posted to Instagram.
Professor Allan Lichtman of American University has revealed his Keys to the White House model indicates Ms Harris is on track for victory.
“I have not made a final prediction. I’ve said I will make it after the Democratic convention,” Prof Lichtman told C-SPAN.
“But I have said for months, and I continue to say a lot would have to go wrong for Democrats to lose.
“That could happen, but a lot would have to change.”
The latest release from Professor Allan Lichtman: "Predicting the Next President: The Keys to the White House 2024 Edition!"
— Allan Lichtman (@AllanLichtman) July 29, 2024
Allan Lichtman, a world’s top political analysts who examines the underlying fundamentals of presidential elections since 1860.https://t.co/dbaJwd9QYd?
Prof Lichtman, who uses 13 categories – such as whether the challenger is charismatic and if there has been a recent military failure to make his prediction – incorrectly forecast Al Gore would win in 2000.
The Harris campaign has raised A$300 million in a week which will be added to the existing A$147 million inherited from President Joe Biden to create a formidable war chest.
‘KAMALAMENTUM’ GROWS
The prediction comes after 94,000 people joined the Win With Black Women Zoom call to raise a staggering A$2.3 million for the Harris campaign.
Their success inspired the would-be first female, black and Indian heritage US president’s white allies to spring into action in a celebrity-lead effort dubbed ‘Kamalamentum’.
When 200,000 people called into the Zoom ‘White Woman: Answer the Call’, including singer Pink and Friday Night Lights actor Connie Britton, they raised another A$2.3 million and broke the internet.
“Zoom had to bring in extra engineers to figure out how to handle more people. It crashed multiple times,” Democrat Michigan Senator Mallory McMorrow told the Cuomo Show.
‘White Dudes for Harris’, which included actors Jeff Bridges, Mark Ruffalo and Mark Hamill among its 180,000 attendees, raised A$5.7 million during their call on Monday.
Upcoming monster Zooms titled ‘Latino Men for Kamala’ and ‘Cat Ladies for Harris’ are also expected to rake in the funds.
HARRIS VP PICKS IN DOUBT
Harris running mate favourite, North Carolina Governor Roy Cooper, has announced he is putting himself out of contention for the honour amid rumours he plans to run for the senate.
Meanwhile fellow contender, Arizona’s Senator Mark Kelly is copping heat after an Instagram post from his then 23-year-old daughter from 2020 resurfaced.
Claire Kelly had posted a photo of what she labelled “molly weed” – a combination of marijuana and ecstasy – to her Instagram story along with a screenshot of a text message exchange purported to be from her father demanding she take it down.
“Been busy today. Got 1 call and 2 emails about your Instagram account. I’m not interested in looking but I suspect what you posted would not be in anyone’s best interest. At least not yours or mine,” Mr Kelly texted his daughter according to the since deleted post.
“No my Instagram is fine. Check for yourself,” Ms Kelly texted her father back.
“I’ll pass,” Mr Kelly wrote.
ELECTION ADS RAMP UP
Ms Harris’ campaign released their first paid television ad on Tuesday in the lead up to the Democratic National Convention which begins on August 19.
The ad campaign ‘Fearless’ shows a series of throwback images of the vice president from when she was a child and a young prosecutor.
“As a prosecutor, she put murderers and abusers behind bars. As California’s Attorney-General, she went after the big banks and won $20 billion for homeowners, and as Vice President, she took on the big drug companies to cap the cost of insulin for seniors,” the voiceover says.
“Because Kamala Harris has always known who she represents.”
The ad ends with Ms Harris declaring “we’re not going back” in reference to former president Donald Trump.
In response, the Trump campaign has released an attack ad.
“This is America’s border czar, and she’s failed us. Under Harris, over 10 million illegal a year,” the ad declares overlaid with vision of Ms Harris dancing.
“A quarter of a million Americans dead from fentanyl.”
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Originally published as Trump v Harris: Polls show Kamala Harris ahead
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