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Aussies brace for cyclones, fire and rain in ‘warmer than usual’ autumn

Things won’t be cooling down anytime soon in Australia, with wild weather and a “warmer than usual” autumn forecast across the country.

Tropical Cyclone Alfred strengthens to category three system

While the end of Aussie summer is fast approaching, conditions won’t be cooling down anytime soon, with a wild and warmer than usual autumn on the way.

The Bureau of Meteorology has released its long-range autumn forecast, with higher than average temperatures expected across the country.

Aussies can expect a “warmer than average” autumn in 2025. Photo: Supplied
Aussies can expect a “warmer than average” autumn in 2025. Photo: Supplied

“While autumn is often a time for cooler weather to begin, this season is very likely to be warmer than average across Australia and summer heat may persist into early autumn,” the Bureau stated.

As tropical cyclone Alfred continues to edge closer to the Queensland coast heading into the weekend, Aussies can expect similar extreme weather to stick around this autumn.

“Tropical cyclones, tropical lows, storms and active monsoon bursts are still possible in the north over the coming months, which can bring particularly heavy rain,” the Bureau stated.

“The Australasian Fire and Emergency Services Authorities Council has identified areas with an increased risk of fire this season for southern areas of Victoria, Western Australia and South Australia.”

Southern areas of Victoria, Western Australia and South Australia are at increased risk of fire this autumn. Photo: Supplied
Southern areas of Victoria, Western Australia and South Australia are at increased risk of fire this autumn. Photo: Supplied

The BOM said rainfall was likely to be in the “typical” range for autumn in most parts of Australia.

“However, for parts of the far northwest of the country there is a chance of above average rainfall,” it said.

Here’s what each state and territory can expect for the season ahead …

NSW and ACT

Warmer than usual temperatures very likely and most of NSW (including ACT) can expect rainfall in the typical range of between 100 and 400mm along most of eastern NSW, while western and central NSW have between 25 and 100mm, and up to 600mm in parts of the north coast.

Victoria

Warmer than usual temperatures very likely and most of Victoria is likely to have rainfall in the typical range of between 50mm in the state’s northwest and up to 300mm in eastern and alpine areas.

Queensland

Autumn is likely to bring warmer than usual temperatures to Queensland, with conditions also drier than usual for most of the state, except for the south and southeast.

The southern most quarter of the state is likely to have rainfall in the typical range for autumn.

Average autumn rainfall in recent decades has been between 200 and 1200mm along most of the state’s east, while western and central Queensland have between 25 and 200mm.

Tropical cyclones, tropical lows, storms and active monsoon bursts are still possible in the north over the coming months, which can bring particularly heavy rain. Photo: Ian Hitchcock/Getty Images
Tropical cyclones, tropical lows, storms and active monsoon bursts are still possible in the north over the coming months, which can bring particularly heavy rain. Photo: Ian Hitchcock/Getty Images

Western Australia

There’s an increased chance of above average rainfall this autumn for parts of the northern Kimberley, while the rest of WA can expect typical rainfall of between 50 and 300mm for most of the South West Land Division, between 50 and 200mm mid-state, and up to 400mm in the far north. Warmer than usual temperatures are also expected.

South Australia

Warmer than usual temperatures and typical autumn rainfall levels of between 50 and 200mm for urban and agricultural areas, and 10 to 50mm for the pastoral districts.

Tasmania:

Rainfall in the typical range of between 400 and 800mm for western Tasmania, while eastern areas can expect between 100 and 300mm. Warmer than usual autumn temperatures are very likely across the state.

Northern Territory

While most of the NT can expect rainfall in the typical range for this time of year, parts of the east may have below average rainfall.

Average March to May rainfall in recent decades has been between 100 and 600mm along most of the north, and inland areas have had between 25 and 100mm.

Warmer than usual temperatures forecast across the territory.

Originally published as Aussies brace for cyclones, fire and rain in ‘warmer than usual’ autumn

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Original URL: https://www.themercury.com.au/technology/environment/aussies-brace-for-cyclones-fire-and-rain-in-warmer-than-usual-autumn/news-story/158a16aee8e7722048f8be0e9db0c28f